Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/25/2024

The Chicago Cubs (81-77) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MARQ. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 5:05 CT.

Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-192)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Phillies have won 7 out of their last 10 home games.
  • Phillies have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 10 home games.
  • Phillies have a 53-27 record at home this season, the best in the NL East.
  • Phillies have won 3 out of the last 4 head-to-head games against the Cubs.
  • Phillies have scored 6 or more runs in 4 out of their last 6 games.

Cubs vs Phillies

chicago cubs nba

Chicago cruised to a 10-4 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were the slight favorites at -108.

Justin Steele only went four innings for the Cubs but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued four walks. On the other side, Tanner Banks was tagged for three homers and seven runs in just 1 1/3 innings of work for the Phillies.

Cody Bellinger, Nico Hoerner, and Seiya Suzuki each had two RBIs for the Cubs’ offense. Bellinger, Dansby Swanson, and Pete Crow-Armstrong each had two hits and scored two runs for Chicago.

Chicago’s overall series record is 22-25-3, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Phillies. The Cubs are 2 games behind the Cardinals for the second Wild Card spot, with an overall record of 81-77, which puts them 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 9.5 games.

On the run line, the Cubs have a 77-81 record, including a strong 47-33 mark on the road. Their over/under record for the season is 74-78, and games involving the Cubs have had an average run total of 8.8. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Cubs are 13-19-2.

Javier Assad Gets The Start For The Cubs

Right-hander Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 3.34. Overall, Assad has made six quality starts and is averaging 7.63 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Assad finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Assad’s ERA on the road is 4.43, compared to 2.58 at home.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the MLB. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and are 15th in the league in home runs. Chicago’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts and is 6th in the league in walks.

Ian Happ and Michael Busch are tied for 2nd on the team with 21 homers this season, with Happ leading the team with 86 RBIs. Seiya Suzuki is 2nd on the team in homers (21) and is batting .281 for the season. Over his last seven games, Nico Hoerner has gone 11/25 and is batting .272 for the season.

Philadelphia has a 93-65 record and is 5.5 games ahead of the Mets in the NL East. They are coming off a loss to the Cubs and have a 4-6 record in their last ten games. The Phillies have dropped two straight series and have a series record of 27-18-7 for the season.

When the Phillies are favorites, they are 80-47 straight up and 60-67 against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 74-75. So far, 73 of their games have had totals higher than the average line of 8 runs.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Through 30 starts, Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 11-9 and an ERA of 3.25. This year, he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 2.23. Sánchez has made 17 quality starts, and his ERA for the season is 3.25. In his last outing, Sánchez picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 4th in runs per game (4.8) and are also among the MLB leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Overall, the Phillies are averaging 5.0 runs per game at home and 4.7 runs per game on the road. The team’s collective batting average of .258 is 4th in the league, and they are also 7th in home runs.

Over his last eight games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 9/35 with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .250 with 38 home runs, which is 6th in the league. Nick Castellanos has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/29 in his last eight games with two homers.

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Phillies game is to take the over, as we see the Phillies coming out on top with a final score of 6-5. However, with the money line payout being -192, we recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value on the over/under line.

Looking at today’s starters, Christopher Sanchez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has the third-best chances of picking up a win among today’s starters. As for Javier Assad, we have him finishing with five K’s and ranking 14th in terms of starters to pick up a win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.