The Detroit Tigers (33-35) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (31-38) on Friday, June 14th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on None. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Tigers vs Astros
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Tigers closed out the series with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -155. Offensively, the Tigers scored their seven runs on json0 hits and only hit one home run.
Casey Mize put together a good start for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Detroit’s offense was carried by Justyn-Henry Malloy, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Detroit is 33-35 overall and trails the Guardians by 11 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are 10-9 against other teams in the AL Central. This season, the Tigers are 17-16 on the road compared to a mark of 16-19 at home.
So far, the Tigers have gone 17-15 as the favorite and 16-20 as the underdog. They will be the road favorite in today’s game vs. the Astros. Detroit lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Nationals. For the year, the Tigers are 9-9-4 in series.
The Tigers have been a solid run line team on the road this season, going 18-15 against the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game on the road, which has helped them cover the run line more often than not. They have also been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 22-14 against the run line in those games.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Tigers games this season is 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Detroit is 39-27 this season. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Tigers have a record of 12-8. The average over/under line for Tigers games this season is 8 runs per game.
Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 8-1 with an ERA of 1.92. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .89, and opponents are batting .192 off the left-hander this year. Skubal is coming off a start in which he gave up just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. He finished with 10 strikeouts in that outing. Skubal has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.85 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed five homers.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game (16th). As a team, they are batting just .231 and have the 18th ranked home run total in the league. Detroit’s team on-base percentage is just .298, which is 22nd in the MLB.
Riley Greene comes into the game as the Tigers’ top home run hitter and is also leading the team with 30 RBIs. However, he has gone just 7/32 in his last eight games. Matt Vierling and Kerry Carpenter are both batting above .280 and have also been solid in the power department. Vierling has gone deep eight times, and Carpenter has matched him in the home run department.
The Astros will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 5-3 loss. Houston was the +100 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Giants scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Houston started Framber Valdez, and he took the loss, going only four innings and giving up five earned runs on eight hits. Offensively, the Astros scored their three runs on nine hits and only had one home run.
Houston is currently 8.0 games behind the Mariners in the AL West, and they are 31-38 overall. The Astros are 15-12 against other teams in the division. So far, they have gone 17-18 at home compared to 14-20 on the road.
The Astros kick off their series vs. the Tigers at home, and they are 1-3 as home underdogs this year. As the favorite, the Astros are 24-30 and 7-8 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 10-11-1 this year.
When betting the run line with the Astros, it’s important to note that they have a run line record of 29-40 on the season, including a 15-20 mark at home. Their average run margin on the year is +0.1 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 14-20 on the road. As the favorite, they are 21-33 against the run line, while they are 8-7 as the underdog. In their wins, their average run differential is +4.1 runs per game, while in their losses, it’s -3.2 runs per game.
When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is typically set high. In 82.6% of their games, the line has been set at over 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 25-41. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 4-7.
Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros
Hunter Brown will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Angels, he went six innings and gave up just two hits. Brown finished with four walks and seven strikeouts in the outing. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each one. Brown has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.58 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .254 off Brown this year. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.83 strikeouts per nine innings.
Astros Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest, which is 7th in the league. As a team, the Astros are batting .259, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Houston’s team slugging percentage of .417 is 4th in the league.
Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez have been two of the team’s best hitters this season, with Altuve batting .294 and Alvarez at .293. Altuve has gone 9/23 in his last five games, while Alvarez has gone 7/20 with two homers in that stretch. Kyle Tucker has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as he is 3rd in the league with 19 homers.
Tigers vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -110. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4. Given that the payout for an Astros win is close to even, this is the route we recommend taking.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do like Tarik Skubal’s strikeout potential, as he is projected to finish with eight K’s. However, our projections have Hunter Brown finishing with six strikeouts, and he is also predicted to finish with fewer earned runs than Skubal.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 14, 2024 Astros, Tigers