Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7/2/2024

The Detroit Tigers (38-46) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (47-37) on Tuesday, July 2nd. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSDET. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.

Tigers vs. Twins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-106)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Twins have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • Twins have scored an average of 6.8 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Twins have a 6-2 record at home in their last 8 home games.
  • Twins have outscored their opponents by 30 runs in their last 15 games.
  • Twins have a 4-1 record against the Tigers in their last 5 head-to-head matchups.

Tigers vs Twins

detroit tigers nba

The Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing one run to the Angels in the top of the first, the Tigers responded with three runs of their own. Detroit went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.

Casey Mize put together a good start for the Tigers, going 5 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out two Angels batters. Detroit’s bullpen nearly gave up the lead, as the Angels scored five runs in the 9th, but Tyler Holton was able to close things out and pick up the save.

After losing three of four games to the Angels, the Tigers are now 38-46 on the season and 15 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. Detroit’s series record this season is 9-13-4, and they have dropped two straight series heading into today’s game.

This season, the over has hit in 44 of the Tigers’ 82 games, giving them a 44-38 O/U record. The average run total in their games is 8.4 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than usual, as 60.7% of their games have had higher totals than that.

Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers

Tarik Skubal has been pitching well for the Tigers this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 2.32. Skubal has made 16 starts this year and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run, picking up the win after going seven innings vs. the Phillies. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Skubal’s ERA on the road is 3.3, and he has a record of 3-3 away from home. At home, he is 6-0 with a 1.75 ERA.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a bit worse at home, averaging 4 runs per game (21st). As a team, they are batting just .228, and their team on-base percentage of .293 is also near the bottom of the league. Detroit’s 76 home runs are 19th in the league.

Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as he is 11th in the league with 15 home runs. Greene is also batting .253 and has driven in 41 runs. However, he has gone just 7/31 in his last nine games. Matt Vierling has also struggled of late, going 7/34 in his last eight games. Vierling is 2nd on the team with 10 homers.

The Twins Are Coming Off A Win

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing one run to the Mariners in the bottom of the first, the Twins responded with a run of their own and added another in the 5th to take the lead. Minnesota was the -112 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Joe Ryan put together a good start for the Twins, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 10. However, Minnesota’s bullpen almost gave the game away, as the Mariners scored two runs in the 7th to tie things up. Jhoan Duran was able to close things out in the 9th, and the Twins picked up the win.

Minnesota has a 47-37 record and is six games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. They have won three straight series and are 6-4 in their last ten games. The Twins have a 38-20 record as favorites and are 9-17 as underdogs.

On the run line, the Twins are 40-44 overall and 27-31 as favorites. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their O/U record is 40-42. For games with a total of 7.5 runs, they are 10-10, with 63.1% of their games having higher totals.

Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers at home. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .223 off Woods Richardson this season. In his 13 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Woods Richardson’s most recent outing came vs. the Diamondbacks, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had gone four straight starts without taking a loss.

Twins Offense Breakdown

minnesota twins

Minnesota’s offense has been one of the better units in the league this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are 5th in home runs and have the 5th best slugging percentage in the league. Collectively, the Twins are batting .248, which is the 10th best mark in the league.

Over his last six games, Byron Buxton has been on fire, going 10/22 with four homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .276 with seven home runs. Ryan Jeffers leads the team with 41 RBIs and has 13 homers, but is batting just .232. Carlos Santana is 3rd on the team in RBIs and has gone deep 12 times this season.

Tigers vs Twins Prediction

Our predictions for this Twins vs. Tigers matchup is that the Twins will come out on top by a score of 5-4. With the Twins at home and a payout of -106, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Simeon Woods Richardson finishing with six strikeouts, and for the Tigers’ starter, Tarik Skubal, we have him finishing with six strikeouts. Skubal does have a higher strikeout ceiling, and if you’re looking for a player prop, his over/under would be a good option.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.