The Detroit Tigers (70-69) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (79-61) on Wednesday, September 4th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on BSDET. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Tigers vs. Padres Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Padres (-192)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Padres have won 6 of their last 10 games.
- Padres have a home record of 38-32, while the Tigers have an away record of 35-35.
- Padres have scored 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 15 games.
- Padres have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Padres have a league rank of 4th compared to the Tigers’ rank of 7th in their respective leagues.
Tigers vs Padres
San Diego cruised to a 3-0 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 8th inning, scoring two of their three runs and picking up four of their seven hits. As for the Tigers, they had their best chance to score in the 3rd inning, but could only muster one hit.
Joe Musgrove started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Tyler Holton only went two innings for the Tigers, giving up one hit and no earned runs.
Luis Arraez was the only player in the game to score more than one run, as he crossed the plate twice for the Padres. Mason McCoy and Jackson Merrill each had two hits and an RBI.
As underdogs, the Tigers have a 38-47 record this season, and they are 24-30 on the road when not favored. Overall, Detroit is 70-69 and they trail the Guardians by 10 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have won three straight series, bringing their series record to 20-19-5 for the year.
On the run line, the Tigers have a 43-27 record on the road and 53-32 as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 72-67, with an average run margin of +0.1 runs per game. The over/under record for Tigers games this season is 69-66, and the combined run average is 8.3. The under has hit in Detroit’s last three games, and 61.2% of their games have had over/under lines higher than today’s total of 7.5 runs.
Keider Montero Gets The Start For The Tigers
Right-hander Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 5.17. Montero’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.35. In his last outing, Montero took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Montero has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three starts. So far, he has turned in three quality starts this year.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Over the Tigers’ last 10 games, Spencer Torkelson has gone 10/37 with three home runs and eight RBIs. Zach McKinstry has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/24 in his last eight games. For the season, Riley Greene leads the team with 20 homers and 58 RBIs, while batting .258. Matt Vierling is right behind him in the home run department, with 15 long balls, and is batting .261.
Overall, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233 and have the 19th ranked on-base percentage in the league. Detroit is also near the bottom of the league in walks and on-base percentage.
San Diego has a 79-61 record, putting them 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have won two straight games and are 6-4 in their last 10. As the favorite, they are 50-37 straight-up and have covered the run line in their last game.
On the road, the Padres have a 41-29 record and are 44-26 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs, and their O/U record for the season is 75-63. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs.
Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Tigers at home. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.19 ERA. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Darvish’s most recent outing was on May 29th, where he took the loss, going three innings and giving up three runs (two earned) on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. His ERA at home is 4.35 compared to 1.8 on the road.
Padres Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, with a batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are near the top of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. San Diego is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, compared to 5.1 runs per game on the road.
Over his last five games, Luis Arraez has gone 9/20, and for the season, he is batting .310 with four homers. Manny Machado has the most homers on the team, with 23, and his 84 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Machado is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Tigers vs Padres Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres to pick up the win at home. However, with a money line payout of -192, we actually like the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Keider Montero with six. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Darvish is a great option.
Offensively, we have the Padres finishing with nine hits compared to the Tigers with nine. However, the Padres are projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the lowest in the league today.
As for the Tigers, they are projected to finish with 10 K’s, which is 19th in the league.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 4, 2024 Padres, Tigers