Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9/5/2024

The Detroit Tigers (70-70) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (80-61) on Thursday, September 5th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on BSDET. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.

Tigers vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-155)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games.
  • Padres have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Padres have won 5 of their last 6 home games.
  • Padres have a current winning streak of 3 games.
  • Padres have outscored the Tigers 9-5 in their last 2 head-to-head games.

Tigers vs Padres

detroit tigers nba

San Diego picked up a 6-5 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a late rally, scoring one run in the 5th and then picking up the game-winning run in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -198 on the money line.

Detroit wasted a good outing from Keider Montero, as he gave up just two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Jason Foley took the loss for the Tigers out of the bullpen. Jeremiah Estrada got the win for the Padres out of the bullpen, and Yu Darvish went just 2 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs.

Offensively, the Tigers actually outhit the Padres in the game 7 to 10. Jackson Merrill was the Padres’ top hitter, going 3/5 with a home run. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had two hits and scored a run for San Diego.

As the underdog, the Tigers have a 38-48 straight-up record and a 54-32 run line record this season. Overall, Detroit’s run line record is 73-67, with an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game. The Tigers are 35-36 on the road and 35-34 at home, heading into today’s game against the Padres.

Detroit is 10 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, with an even 70-70 overall record. They have lost their last two games and are looking to avoid a fifth straight loss as the underdog. The Tigers’ over/under record for the season is 70-66, and their games with an 8.5 run total line have gone 13-14 so far.

Casey Mize Gets The Start For The Tigers

Casey Mize will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Mize finished with a no-decision in the game. Looking back further, he has made five quality starts this year and has a record of 2-6 with a 4.36 ERA. Opponents are batting .280 off Mize this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.59 strikeouts and just 2.34 walks. Mize’s ERA on the road is 7.46, compared to 4.01 at home.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Over his last seven games, Kerry Carpenter has gone 7/22 for the Tigers with two homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move his season average up to .262. Matt Vierling has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games with one home run. Vierling is 3rd on the team with a batting average of .262 and has 51 RBIs this season.

Riley Greene comes into the game as the Tigers’ leader in home runs (20) and RBIs (58), but he has struggled of late, going just 5/29 in his last eight games. Spencer Torkelson is also looking to get things going, as he has gone 5/26 in his last eight games.

San Diego has won three straight games and currently holds an overall series record of 27-14-5. The Padres are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West with an 80-61 record. In the Padres’ last 10 games, they have a 7-3 record.

This season, the Padres have a 72-69 run line record and a 36-17 run line record as underdogs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 76-63. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, which is the line for 25 of their games this season, making up 17.7% of their total games.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Padres

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today and comes into the game with a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 4.71. So far this season, he has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .287 off the left-hander. In his 22 appearances, Pérez has turned in seven quality starts, and his ERA at home is 4.38 compared to 6.52 on the road. The last time he took the mound, Pérez picked up the win, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He gave up one homer in that outing. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, batting a collective .265. They are also one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. San Diego’s offense has been led by Manny Machado, who is 12th in the league with 86 RBIs and has a team-high 23 homers.

Over his last six games, Jackson Merrill has gone 9/24 with three homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd spot in RBIs (82) and 2nd in home runs (22). For the season, he is batting .294. Luis Arraez is batting .311 and is 2nd on the team with 41 RBIs.

Tigers vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Padres matchup is that the Padres will pick up a 6-5 win at home. If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, we would recommend taking the Padres on the money line, where the payout is at -155.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez lasting five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Casey Mize, he is projected to strikeout six and finish with an ERA of 3. However, we have him going five innings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.