The Detroit Tigers (49-50) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (44-54) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on BSDET. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 12:37 CT.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-157)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games, showing a strong offensive capability.
- In their last 15 games, the Blue Jays have won 4 out of 6 home games, indicating a solid home-field advantage.
- The Blue Jays have a recent head-to-head win against the Tigers, scoring 9 runs on May 23rd.
- The Tigers have a .500 record (4-4) in their last 8 away games, showing inconsistency on the road.
- The Blue Jays have a higher league rank (12th) compared to the Tigers (10th), indicating a stronger overall performance this season.
Tigers vs Blue Jays
Detroit cruised to a 7-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 6th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored all three of their runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were the slight underdogs at +105.
Reese Olson only went two innings for the Tigers but didn’t give up a run. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Alex Faedo got the win out of the bullpen. Yusei Kikuchi had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Jake Rogers hit a home run for the Tigers and drove in four runs.
As the underdog, the Tigers have been a profitable team on the run line, boasting a 37-21 record. Overall, they are 48-51 on the run line, and their average run margin in wins is +3.6. Detroit is 25-26 on the road and has won five straight games as the underdog.
With a 49-50 record, the Tigers are 11 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. They have won four straight games, including the first two games of this series against the Blue Jays. The over has hit in their last two games, and their O/U record for games with an 8-run total is 13-11-2.
Keider Montero Gets The Start For The Tigers
Keider Montero and the Tigers are on the road to take on the Blue Jays. Montero has been solid in his first two starts of the year, picking up a win against the Twins and then taking a no-decision vs. the Dodgers. His last time out, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs on 7 hits.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Over his last six games, Andy Ibáñez has gone 5/14 (.357) with two home runs and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .271 with a team-leading 51 RBIs. Ibáñez is also currently on a three-game hitting streak. Colt Keith and Gio Urshela have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Keith hitting .323 over his last 10 games and Urshela batting .351.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They are also 16th in batting average and have the 17th ranked home run total in the MLB. Detroit’s team OBP of .299 is 20th in the league, and their OPS of .687 is 22nd.
When playing as the underdog, Toronto has struggled this season with a 14-32 record, but they have been much better as the favorite, going 30-22. Overall, the Blue Jays are 47-51 against the run line, with a 15-32 record at home. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and the over has hit in 50 of 95 games.
Currently, the Blue Jays are 16 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak. They have a 44-54 record and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, and Toronto has gone over the total in seven straight games.
Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Giants and picked up the win. In that start, he went seven innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has made 19 starts and has a record of 7-8. His ERA for the season is 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.31. Gausman has one complete game shutout this year and has turned in nine quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.0 strikeouts compared to just 2.34 walks. At home, Gausman is 1-5 with an 8.31 ERA.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better on the road (4.2 RPG) than at home (3.9 RPG). Toronto’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. However, they have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as he is batting .293 with 16 homers and 59 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/37 with three homers in his last nine games. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the Blue Jays’ home run leaderboard, but both have low batting averages this season.
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction
Our pick for today’s Tigers vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -157. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for an over/under prediction, we would take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kevin Gausman finishing with six strikeouts compared to Keider Montero with just four. Gausman is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Montero.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 21, 2024 Blue Jays, Tigers