The Arizona Diamondbacks (74-56) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (67-61) on Sunday, August 25th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on MLBN. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-133)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs

• In their last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showing strong offensive performance.
• The Red Sox have a home record of 29-34, while the Diamondbacks have an away record of 37-30, indicating a competitive edge at home for the Red Sox.
• In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have won 7 games, demonstrating a balanced performance.
• The Red Sox have a higher league rank (7th) compared to the Diamondbacks (4th in NL West), indicating overall better performance.
• In head-to-head games this season, the Red Sox have scored an average of 1.5 runs per game against the Diamondbacks, suggesting potential for improvement in the upcoming game.

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox

Arizona picked up a 4-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out seven times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +107 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks and Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Gallen went six innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. Crawford only went five innings and gave up two earned runs.

Boston had a chance to get back into the game in the 9th inning, as they scored their only run and had the bases loaded with two outs. However, Joakim Soria came in and got the final out to secure the win for Arizona.

Arizona is 74-56 overall and has won five straight games, including the first two games of this series vs. the Red Sox. They are currently 2nd in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have a 23-14-4 series record and are 41-24 as favorites this season.

On the run line, the Diamondbacks are 68-62 overall, with a 39-28 record on the road. Their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 71-52. When the total is 9.5 runs, their O/U record is 4-8, and only 5.4% of their games have had higher totals this season.

Merrill Kelly Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Merrill Kelly is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-0 with a 3.63 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kelly has a WHIP of 1.10 and has issued just 2.6 walks per nine innings compared to 7.01 strikeouts. Kelly has turned in three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed more than two earned runs in a start.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in team batting average, and have the league’s top on-base percentage. As a team, they are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS.

Ketel Marte has been the Diamondbacks’ top run producer this season, as his 81 RBIs are 1st on the team and 13th in the league. Marte is also the team’s top home run hitter, with 30 long balls. Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 23 homers, but he has just a .254 batting average for the season.

After dropping the first two games of the series, the Red Sox are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak. They are currently 67-61 overall and sit 3rd in the AL East, eight games behind the Yankees. Boston’s series record this season is 21-14-6.

When the Red Sox have been favored, they are 21-40 against the run line, and as underdogs, they are 39-28. The O/U line for today’s game is 9.5 runs, which is higher than the teams’ combined average of 9.7 runs per game. Boston’s O/U record this season is 67-54, and their record in games with O/U lines of 9.5 runs is 10-11.

Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Through 25 starts, Tanner Houck has a record of 8-8 and an ERA of 3.01. He has pitched much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 3.31 compared to 4-3 with a 3.25 ERA on the road. Houck has made 18 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a homer. In that start, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Houck has not taken a loss in three straight outings, finishing with a no-decision in each of his last three trips to the mound.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s best team BABIP. Boston also has the league’s 3rd best batting average.

Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 27 homers lead the team and is 9th in the league. He is also hitting .293, which is the best mark on the team. Jarren Duran is 3rd on the team with a .291 batting average, and his 17 homers is 3rd on the team. Duran has also gone 8/27 in his last seven games with two homers.

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction

Our pick for this Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -133. We have the Red Sox winning this game by a score of 6-5, which would also have the over hitting, as the line is currently sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Houck finishing with six strikeouts compared to Merrill Kelly with just four. Houck is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Kelly, and we have him going five innings compared to Kelly, who we have going just four.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.