Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8/20/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (70-56) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (46-79) on Tuesday, August 20th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+133)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Marlins have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
  • Marlins have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games.
  • Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
  • Marlins have a higher home win percentage (24-40) compared to Diamondbacks’ away win percentage (33-30).
  • Marlins have scored an average of 4.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.

Diamondbacks vs Marlins

arizona diamondbacks nba

It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Marlins series. Arizona went into the matchup as -208 favorites and picked up a 9-6 win. The Diamondbacks offense only had three more hits than the Marlins and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a convincing win.

Miami got off to a fast start in the game, scoring five runs in the first two innings. As for the Diamondbacks, they didn’t get on the board until the 3rd inning when they scored four of their nine runs. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks had the better offense, averaging 4.6 runs per game compared to the Marlins’ 3.9.

Brandon Pfaadt got the win for the Diamondbacks out of the bullpen, while Adam Oller took the loss for Miami. Zac Gallen got the start for Arizona, going just four innings and giving up five earned runs. Sandy Alcantara only went three innings for the Marlins, giving up four earned runs.

Arizona’s games have averaged 10 runs per game this season, with an over/under record of 69-50. In games with a total of 7.5 runs, the over has hit at a 9-4 rate. The over has hit in their last two games, and the O/U line has been 7.5 runs in 84.1% of their games.

The Diamondbacks are 70-56 overall and trail the Dodgers by four games in the NL West. They are one game behind the Padres for 2nd place in the division. Arizona’s series record this season is 22-14-4, and they have a 37-26 home record and a 33-30 road record.

Eduardo Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Eduardo Rodriguez will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Diamondbacks, and it will be his first road start of the year. In his first start, he picked up a win against the Guardians, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up 3 runs. His last start was at home against the Rockies, and he went 5 innings and struck out 5 but gave up 6 hits.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona comes into the game as the top offense in the MLB, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a very good hitting team this season, batting .260 as a team (4th) and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Ketel Marte has been the Diamondbacks’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .298 and 30 home runs, which is 7th in the league. His 81 RBIs are also 11th best in the majors. Over his last six games, Jake McCarthy is hitting .348, and Adrian Del Castillo and Corbin Carroll have also homered twice over their last five and six games, respectively.

Miami is 46-79 overall and 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 27.5 games. They are 13-26 in divisional games and have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games. As the underdog, the Marlins are 42-66, but they are just 4-13 when favored. Their series record is 10-24-6, and they have lost two straight series at home.

On the run line, the Marlins are 58-67 overall, with a 56-52 record as underdogs and 2-15 as favorites. Miami has played high-scoring games this season, with an over/under record of 69-53. The Diamondbacks have an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, and the over has hit in 16 of their 25 games with a 7.5 run total line.

Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is hoping that Edward Cabrera can bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up six earned runs in four innings of work. In that August 14th start vs. the Phillies, he gave up two homers. Looking back over his last three starts, Cabrera has finished with a record of 1-1 and a no-decision. His ERA for the season is 5.76, along with a record of 2-4. Cabrera has made 13 starts this year and has turned in just two quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 5.31 walks compared to 10.62 strikeouts.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

Currently, the Marlins are 29th in the MLB in runs per game at just 3.7. This is a result of a lineup that is 24th in home runs and near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Miami’s team batting average of .238 is also below the league average.

Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/32 in his last eight games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-leading 55 RBIs. Burger’s 24 homers is 13th in the league. Jesús Sánchez is 2nd on the team with 15 homers but is batting just .238 for the season.

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction

Getting the Marlins at +133 is a great value pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Marlins matchup. We have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with their money line sitting at +133, there is a lot of value there.

Looking at today’s starters, we do have Edward Cabrera finishing with more strikeouts than Eduardo Rodriguez, and our projections have Rodriguez going seven innings compared to Cabrera going six. However, we still like the Marlins to pick up the win and would recommend getting them on the money line.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.