The Arizona Diamondbacks (71-56) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (46-80) on Wednesday, August 21st. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-170)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Diamondbacks have won 10 of their last 15 games.
- In their last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 6.2 runs per game.
- The Diamondbacks have won their last 2 games against the Marlins, scoring a total of 12 runs.
- In the last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games.
- The Diamondbacks have a better away record (34-30) compared to the Marlins’ home record (24-41).
Diamondbacks vs Marlins
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Marlins series. Arizona went into the matchup as -127 favorites and squeaked out a 3-1 win. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Marlins and struck out six times, but still picked up the win.
Miami wasted a good outing from Edward Cabrera, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work for the Marlins. Cabrera did finish the game with just three strikeouts and issued three walks.
Eduardo Rodriguez got the win for the Diamondbacks, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued a walk. Justin Martinez got the save out of the bullpen.
Arizona enters today’s game with a 71-56 record, 4th in the NL West and four games behind the Dodgers. They have won two straight games and are 7-3 in their last 10. The Diamondbacks are up 2-0 in the current series vs. the Marlins.
On the run line, Arizona has been more profitable on the road with a 36-28 record, while they’re below .500 at home. Their over/under record for the season is 69-51, and games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs have gone 27-17. Today’s O/U line of 8.5 runs is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game.
Jordan Montgomery Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Jordan Montgomery will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Rockies and picked up the win. In that August 14th outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 5 hits. Looking back further, he has a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 6.25. Opponents have hit .297 off Montgomery this season, and his ERA at home is 10.16 compared to 4.82 on the road. Overall, he has made 18 appearances, 10 of which have come at home. Montgomery has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 6.35 strikeouts per nine innings.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Not only are they the top-scoring team in the league, but they also have the league’s top home run hitter in Ketel Marte, who has 30 homers this season and is batting .298. Marte also has 81 RBIs, which is 11th best in the MLB. Christian Walker is also a big power threat for the Diamondbacks, as he is 2nd on the team with 23 homers.
Over the team’s last five games, Corbin Carroll and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have both been swinging the bat well, with Carroll hitting three homers in that stretch and Gurriel Jr. going 6/19. Joc Pederson is also on a five-game hitting streak for the Diamondbacks.
So far this season, the Marlins have an over/under record of 24-20 when the total is set at 8.5 runs. Their average combined run total per game is 8.7 runs, and 15.9% of their games have had totals of 8.5 or higher. Miami’s overall run line record is 58-68, with a 56-53 mark as underdogs on the run line.
Miami enters this series on a two-game losing streak, and they are 5th in the NL East with a 46-80 record, trailing the Phillies by 27.5 games. The Marlins have struggled as favorites, going 4-13, and they have lost their last two series at home.
Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins
Roddery Muñoz is looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Marlins today. Against the Mets on August 16th, he got the start and took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Muñoz has allowed at least two home runs in each outing. For the season, he has a record of 2-7, an ERA of 5.88, and has issued 4.38 walks per nine innings compared to 7.73 strikeouts. Muñoz has made 15 starts, and his ERA at home is 7.04.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, as he has gone 11/36 (.306) over his last nine games with four homers and 10 runs scored. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 55 RBIs and 24 homers, which is 13th best in the league. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, as he has 15 homers this season.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Miami’s team batting average is .238, and they are the worst team in the league in terms of drawing walks.
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Diamondbacks vs. Marlins matchup is 6-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks. With the Diamondbacks on the money line, you could get them at -170, but we like the payout of the over/under line, which is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Jordan Montgomery going for the Diamondbacks and Roddery Muñoz for the Marlins. Montgomery is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Muñoz is at four.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts, which is the seventh most in the league today. As for the Marlins, they are projected to finish with nine, which is the 16th most.
Another reason we like the over is that the Diamondbacks are projected to finish with six runs, which is the second most in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 21, 2024 Diamondbacks, Marlins