The Arizona Diamondbacks (30-33) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (32-34) on Friday, June 7th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Diamondbacks vs Padres
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Padres series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight underdogs and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Padres and struck out five more times, but still picked up the win.
San Diego had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Paul Sewald closed things out for the Diamondbacks. Slade Cecconi got the start for Arizona, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out three.
Kevin Ginkel got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks. Jeremiah Estrada took the loss for the Padres out of the bullpen.
Arizona is 30-33 overall and trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and are 14-10 against other teams in the NL West. The Diamondbacks took the first game of their series vs. the Padres and have an overall series record of 7-11-2 this year.
As the road underdog, the Diamondbacks are 11-13 this year, and they have won three straight games as the road team overall. So far, they have been favored in 29 games, going 16-13 as the favorite. At home, the Diamondbacks are 15-16 compared to 15-17 on the road. Looking at their overall record, they are an even 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. That’s why their run line record is 29-34 overall and 17-15 on the road. They are 19-15 vs. the run line as an underdog, but just 10-19 as a favorite.
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-33. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-4. Overall, 82.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres on the road. Pfaadt has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.32. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.75 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are both tied for the team lead with 12 homers, with Walker’s 39 RBIs leading the team and Marte’s 33 RBIs coming in as the 3rd most on the team. Marte has been hot of late, going 9/21 in his last six games, including two homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also gone deep twice in his last five games, but he is batting just .237 for the season.
San Diego is eight games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and they are 32-34 overall. The Padres have dropped five straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 12-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 13-20 this year and 19-14 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has gone 19-21 and 13-13 as the underdog. This season, the Padres are 12-8-2 in series matchups.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 34-32. However, they have been a much better bet on the road, going 24-9. They have been a poor bet at home, going just 10-23 on the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 18-8 on the run line.
San Diego has played to the under in five straight games and has an over/under record of 32-33 on the season. The Padres’ games have had an average combined run total of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, San Diego has gone 9-11 to the over. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and 62.1% of the Padres’ games this season have had higher over/under lines than that.
Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres
Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and is facing the Diamondbacks at home. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 3.82. King’s WHIP for the season is 1.23, and opponents are batting .213 off the right-hander this year. In his 13 appearances, King has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 9.62 strikeouts per nine innings. King’s last outing came against the Royals, where he went seven innings, giving up one earned run and coming away with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss in his last three outings.
Padres Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Padres are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Padres are batting .259, which is the best mark in the league, and they also have the top slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is not only the Padres’ top home run hitter this season, but he is also on a 12-game hitting streak and has gone 14/24 in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .283 with 32 RBIs. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are also near the top of the Padres’ home run leaderboard, with 8 homers apiece.
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction
We see the Diamondbacks as the best pick to win this one straight up, and at +103, there is some good value in picking them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brandon Pfaadt going six innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Michael King, we have him going just five innings and ending the game with four strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 7, 2024 Diamondbacks, Padres