Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7/5/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-44) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (48-43) on Friday, July 5th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-117)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Padres have won 8 of their last 10 home games.
  • Padres have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last 10 home games.
  • Padres have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games overall.
  • Padres have outscored the Diamondbacks 36-17 in their last 5 head-to-head home games.
  • Padres have a higher league rank (5th) compared to the Diamondbacks (7th) in the NL West.

Diamondbacks vs Padres

arizona diamondbacks nba

The Diamondbacks Are Coming Off A Win

Christian Walker had a big game for the Diamondbacks in their most recent win over the Dodgers, going 2/3 with two homers and three RBIs. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a four-run 3rd inning. Zac Gallen got the start for the Diamondbacks, going four innings and giving up three runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.

Justin Martinez picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks, and Arizona’s offense scored another four runs in the top of the 9th to close things out. The Diamondbacks were the slight underdog at -103 going into this game.

Arizona has won two straight games and two straight series, and they are 3rd in the NL West with a 43-44 record, 9.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have a 17-13 record in divisional matchups this season.

As the underdog, the Diamondbacks have a 27-21 run line record, and on the road, they are 24-20. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs this season, with the over hitting in three straight games. Overall, the over/under record in their games is 44-41.

Slade Cecconi Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Slade Cecconi is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.81. Opponents have batted .264 this season off Cecconi, and he has a WHIP of 1.26. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Ceconni finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has struggled at home, coming in with an ERA of 12.44 compared to 3.52 on the road.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 8th in runs per game at 4.8. This is a number that stays consistent whether they are playing at home or on the road. The Diamondbacks also come into the game with a team batting average of .253, which is 7th in the majors.

Christian Walker has been red hot for the Diamondbacks, batting .385 over his last 10 games, with five homers and 12 RBIs during that stretch. For the season, he is 7th in the league with 62 RBIs and is also 4th in the MLB with 22 home runs. Ketel Marte is also having a good season, as he is batting .288 and has 17 homers, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.

The Padres Are Coming Off A Win

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 3-1 win. After going 0-3 in the 1st inning, the Padres scored another run in the 4th to take the lead. The Rangers could only score one run, and it came in the 6th.

Michael King put together a good start for the Padres, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

San Diego has been a profitable team on the run line this season, with a 48-43 record overall and a 31-14 record on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games as underdogs and have been the underdog in 38 of their 91 games. The Padres are 24-22 at home and 24-21 on the road, and they have won four straight series.

The Padres are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, heading into today’s game against the Diamondbacks. They have an overall record of 48-43 and are in 2nd place in the division. San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 48 of their 90 games this season, with an average of 8.9 runs per game.

Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today vs. the Diamondbacks and comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and ERA of 4.88. So far this season, he has made 11 starts, and opponents are batting .322 off the right-hander. Vásquez has turned in two quality starts this year and is averaging 5.57 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in four innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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San Diego comes into the game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, as they are 2nd in team batting average and are 8th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the MLB. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill both have 12 home runs this season, which is 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Profar’s 56 RBIs are the best on the team and 11th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with a batting average of .317. Luis Arraez and Jake Cronenworth have also been solid for the Padres this season, as they are both batting over .260 and have 2 and 12 home runs, respectively.

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction

The best way to play this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -117. We have the Padres winning this game by a score of 6-5, and with the payout for a Padres win on the money line, this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at some potential player props, you could look at the starting pitchers. We have Slade Cecconi finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the third-lowest among today’s starters. As for Randy Vásquez, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is right in the middle of today’s starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.