The San Diego Padres (50-49) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (58-37) on Friday, July 19th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on APLTV. Both the Padres and Guardians are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Padres vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-139)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs

• The Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
• The Guardians have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
• The Guardians have a home record of 30-11, the best in the AL Central.
• The Guardians have won 3 of their last 4 games against NL West teams.
• The Guardians have outscored their opponents by 10 runs in their last 5 home games.

Padres vs Guardians

The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series

Led by a big game by Luis Campusano at the plate, the Padres are coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. Campusano went 1/1 with a homer and two RBIs, but the Padres still lost 6-3 to the Braves. San Diego was the +143 underdog at home going into this matchup.

Randy Vasquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on four hits. The Padres also issued three walks in thejson to the Braves.

San Diego is looking to get back on track after losing their last two games as underdogs. Their overall series record this season is 17-13-3, and they are currently 50-49, seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 15-17 against NL West teams this season.

On the run line, the Padres are 31-14 on the road and 28-13 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 53-45. When the total has been set at 7.5 runs, their O/U record is 16-16.

Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-8 with a 3.71 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Waldron took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Waldron has given up at least one homer in each of his last four outings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Padres have been one of the league’s best offenses, coming into the game with the MLB’s 2nd best team batting average at .261. They have also been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, as they are 10th in the league in homers and have three players who have gone deep at least 13 times. As a team, the Padres are averaging 4.5 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they are tied for the team lead with 14 homers. Profar’s 59 RBIs is the best mark on the team and is 11th in the league. Profar comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, but he is just 5/28 in his last seven games. Manny Machado is also on a three-game hitting streak, and he has gone deep 13 times this season.

The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series

Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 loss. The Guardians were the +111 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as Ben Lively struck out the side in the first inning. However, the Rays got to Lively for two runs in the 3rd, and Cleveland’s offense didn’t score a run.

Angel Martinez had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with two singles. The Guardians only had four hits, all of which were singles. Cleveland’s best chance to score came in the 3rd inning, but they couldn’t push a run across. Ben Lively took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits.

As the favorite, Cleveland is 42-20 straight up this season and has a 21-20 run line record at home. The Guardians have a 58-37 overall record and are 30-11 at home, but they are coming off a series loss to the Rays. The under has hit in their last three games, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season.

Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers. In that start, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Bibee has given up at least two homers in each outing. His ERA for the season is 3.77, along with a record of 7-4. Opponents have a batting average of .226 vs. Bibee this season. Despite the recent struggles, he has made seven quality starts this year.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Guardians offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.8 runs per game (9th) and batting a collective .243, which is the 11th best mark in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Not only do they have the 11th best OPS in the league, but they are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, averaging just 7 per game.

José Ramírez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 77 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league. He has also gone deep 23 times, which is the best mark on the team and 6th best in the MLB. Josh Naylor is right behind him in terms of RBIs, as he has driven in 70 runs while hitting 22 homers. Over the Guardians’ last eight games, Angel Martinez has gone 8/32 with two homers, while Bo Naylor has also gone deep twice, but is just 4/17 in this stretch.

Padres vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for this Padres vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -139. We see this game ending with a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Guardians, giving us some room to take them on the money line.

Looking at some potential props, you could also look at the starting pitchers and go with Tanner Bibee to record more strikeouts than Matt Waldron. Our projections have Bibee finishing with six strikeouts, compared to Waldron with five.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.