San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8/27/2024

The San Diego Padres (75-58) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (65-66) on Tuesday, August 27th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 6:45 CT.

Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Cardinals (+116)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Cardinals have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • The Cardinals have scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • The Cardinals have a home record of 34-31, while the Padres have an away record of 38-26.
  • The Cardinals have won 2 out of 3 head-to-head games against the Padres this season.
  • The Padres have lost 4 out of their last 6 away games.

Padres vs Cardinals

san diego padres nba

San Diego picked up a 7-4 road win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Cardinals got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final three runs in the 5th.

Randy Vásquez started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Kyle Gibson had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs.

Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill each homered for the Padres, while Masyn Winn went 3/4 with an RBI for St. Louis. Alec Burleson also had a three-hit game at the plate.

San Diego games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 72-60. In games with the total set at 8 runs, they are 10-10-1. The Padres are 26-14-4 in series this year and have a 6-4 record in their last ten games.

On the run line, the Padres are 35-15 as underdogs and 34-49 as favorites. Overall, their run line record is 69-64. In the NL West, they are 4th with a 75-58 record, trailing the Dodgers by four games.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. Cease has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 12-10 with a 3.43 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.05 and opponents are batting .196 off him this season. Cease has turned in 14 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game this year. In his last outing, Cease took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also the league’s top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. The Padres are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, compared to 5.1 runs per game on the road.

Over his last eight games, Jackson Merrill has gone 9/31 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .290, which is tied for 5th on the team. Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are tied for the team lead in homers (21) and are also the league’s 14th best home run hitters. Profar and Machado have also been swinging the bat well of late, with both players going 8/29 in their last eight games.

St. Louis is 34-31 at home and 31-35 on the road, and they have a 21-18-4 series record this season. The Cardinals’ run line record is 32-66, and they have covered the run line in 43 of 65 games as underdogs.

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 10.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, with an overall record of 65-66. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 62-66. The O/U line of 8 runs is lower than usual, as 59.5% of their games have had higher total lines.

Miles Mikolas Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Miles Mikolas will be looking to build off his last outing, where he was solid vs. the Brewers. In that August 22nd start, he went six innings, giving up no earned runs and just three hits. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, Mikolas has made 26 starts and is 8-10 with a 5.19 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .277 off Mikolas this season. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.26 and has allowed a total of 20 homers this year. At home, he is 1-5 with a 6.62 ERA.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. St. Louis comes into the game with a team batting average of .246, which is 10th in the league. As a team, they are just 20th in home runs and have a collective OPS of .697.

Over the past nine games, Masyn Winn has been hot for the Cardinals, going 14/38 (.368) with six runs and one homer. For the season, he is batting .282 and is 5th on the team with 46 RBIs. Alec Burleson has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 21 homers are 14th in the league. He is also leading the Cardinals with 72 RBIs.

Padres vs Cardinals Prediction

With the Cardinals currently sitting at +116 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going in this one. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Cardinals, giving them a good amount of value with a money line payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Miles Mikolas has a better chance of picking up a win than Dylan Cease, and he is also projected to finish with more strikeouts. Mikolas is projected to finish with four K’s, compared to Cease, who is projected to strike out six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.