The Los Angeles Dodgers (44-29) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (25-46) on Monday, June 17th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on SNLA. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.
Dodgers vs Rockies
Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers are coming off a big game vs. the Royals to close out their series. Ohtani went 2/3 with two homers and two RBIs. The Dodgers really broke things open with a three-run 6th inning. Going into the game, they were the heavy favorite at -264.
Tyler Glasnow started for the Dodgers, going seven innings and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Royals batters. The Dodgers’s bullpen closed things out with Evan Phillips getting the save.
Los Angeles is 44-29 overall and leads the NL West by eight games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be on the road today, taking on the Rockies. They have gone 13-10 against other teams in the NL West. The Dodgers won the final two games of their series vs. the Royals and are 6-4 across their last 10.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 24-15 this year and are 20-14 on the road. Los Angeles has been really good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 42-26. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 2-3 this year. So far, they are 19-11 as the favorite on the road.
When betting the run line on the Dodgers this season, the best results have come when they are on the road. They are 18-16 against the run line on the road compared to 18-21 at home. Their average run margin on the road is 1.6 runs per game compared to 1.2 runs per game at home. Their overall run line record is 36-37, and they have an average run margin of 1.4 runs per game this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 36-37. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and they have yet to have a game with an over/under line of 11.5 runs. In fact, 100% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 11.5 runs.
James Paxton Gets The Start For The Dodgers
James Paxton is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Rangers and picked up the win. In that June 11th outing, he went 6 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking back further, Paxton has made 12 starts and has a record of 6-1. His ERA for the season is 3.92, along with a WHIP of 1.41. This year, opponents are batting .237 off the left-hander. Paxton has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 5.28 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 7 homers and is averaging 4.83 walks per nine innings.
Dodgers Offense Breakdown
Los Angeles has been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, as they are 3rd in home runs and team batting average. Overall, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. The Dodgers have been even better in terms of on-base percentage and OPS, as they are the league’s top-ranked team in both categories.
Shohei Ohtani has been a big part of the Dodgers’ offense this season, as he is batting .309 with 19 homers and 46 RBIs. Ohtani has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/24 with four homers over his last seven games. Freddie Freeman has also been swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers, going 9/25 with two homers over his last seven games.
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with an 8-2 loss. Colorado was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Pirates scored five times in the 2nd.
Offensively, the Rockies only had two fewer hits than the Pirates but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 3rd inning. Nolan Jones was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored. However, the Rockies couldn’t get much else going, and Jacob Stallings was the only other player to have more than one hit, going 2/4 with a double.
With a record of 25-46, the Rockies are in 5th place in the NL West, 18 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Overall, they are 9-14 against other teams in the NL West. The Rockies will host the Dodgers today, and they are 14-19 at home this season.
Colorado has really struggled on the road, going 11-27 this year. So far, they have yet to win a series at home, coming in with a mark of 4-17-2. The Rockies lost the series to the Pirates, dropping two of three games. Heading into today’s game, they are 4-6 over their last 10.
The Rockies have a run line record of 35-36 on the season, and they have been a solid bet on the road, going 19-19 against the run line. They have been a bit better at home, going 16-17 against the run line. They have an average run margin of -1.6 runs per game on the season, and they have been outscored by an average of -2.0 runs per game on the road and -1.1 runs per game at home. They have been an underdog in every game this season, going 35-36 against the run line.
The Rockies have an over/under record of 36-34 this season and their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, but today’s line is set at 11.5 runs. In games with an over/under line of 11.5 runs, the over has hit in both games. Only 5.6% of their games this season have had a higher over/under line than today’s 11.5 runs.
Cal Quantrill Gets The Start For The Rockies
Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today and is coming off a great outing vs. the Twins, where he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. In that outing, he only gave up three hits and one walk. Looking back further, Quantrill has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 6-4. His ERA for the season is 3.30, along with a WHIP of 1.25. Opposing batters are hitting .228 off the right-hander this year. Quantrill has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 6.38 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed eight homers and is averaging 3.42 walks per nine innings.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
For the Rockies to improve their 4.2 runs per game average, they will need to hit more home runs, as they are just 21st in the league in that category. As a team, the Rockies are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and they have the 2nd best BABIP in the league. One thing that has hurt the Rockies offense is their high strikeout rate, as they are 26th in the league in that category.
Over his last five games, Ryan McMahon has gone 7/20 with two homers and three RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .265 with a team-high 12 homers and 37 RBIs. Ezequiel Tovar is also having a strong season, batting .290 with 11 homers and 34 RBIs. Tovar is currently on a six-game hitting streak.
Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction
Our predicted score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Rockies, and with them paying out at +146 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going. The Rockies have a higher projected win percentage than the Dodgers, and with the payout, there is a lot of value in taking them to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, James Paxton is projected to finish with six strikeouts, the most of any starter today. As for the Rockies starter, Cal Quantrill, he is actually projected to finish with the fewest strikeouts among all starters, and we have his final line at 5.1 innings with four strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 17, 2024 Dodgers, Rockies