The San Francisco Giants (42-45) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (47-37) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on MLBN. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Giants are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.
Giants vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Giants (+104)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Giants have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
- The Giants have won 3 out of their last 4 road games.
- The Giants have a winning record against teams with a similar or worse league rank (10th) in the last 15 games.
- The Giants have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating recent strong performance.
- The Giants have outscored their opponents by a total of 11 runs in their last 5 wins.
Giants vs Braves
The most recent game o of this Giants and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Giants rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -209 on the money line.
Chris Sale pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Jordan Hicks had a rough outing for the Giants, taking the loss.
Offensively, the Braves were led by Adam Duvall, who went 3/4 with an RBI. Austin Riley also had two hits and drove in two runs for Atlanta. Matt Chapman was the lone bright spot for the Giants, going 2/3 with an RBI.
San Francisco is looking to even their series with the Braves today and get back to .500. They are 42-45 overall, 11 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 48-36. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 8-10-2.
As the underdog, the Giants have gone 18-27, while as the favorite, they are 24-18. Against the run line, they are 42-45, and on the road, they are 22-21 vs. the run line. In wins, they have an average margin of victory of 3.3 runs, and in losses, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs.
Logan Webb Gets The Start For The Giants
Giants starter Logan Webb finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going seven innings against the Dodgers. He only gave up two earned runs in the outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Webb has finished with a no-decision in two of them. Webb’s ERA for the season is 3.12, along with a record of 6-6. Out of his 18 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, Webb is averaging 7.77 strikeouts and just 2.08 walks. On the road, he is 2-4 with a 4.95 ERA.
Giants Offense Breakdown
Over the Giants’ last eight games, Matt Chapman has gone 10/30 with two homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .242, but his 40 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and his 11 homers are also the most on the team. Heliot Ramos is also tied for the team lead in homers and is batting .294 this season.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also 10th in team batting average and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. So far, they have been a good home run hitting team, but their team ISO of .145 is just 16th in the league.
Atlanta is 27-15 at home and 44-31 as the favorite this season. They have an overall series record of 16-10-2 and are 1-1 in their current series vs. the Giants. The Braves have an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game and a 40-44 run line record, including 19-23 at home.
Braves games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-51. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than usual, as 69.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines. Atlanta’s overall record is 47-37, and they are 9 games behind the Phillies in the NL East.
Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run. In that start vs. the Pirates, he went 6 1/3 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking back over his last four outings, Morton has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 5-4, and he has an ERA of 3.89. Out of his 15 starts, Morton has seven quality starts and is averaging 9.14 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed seven homers and is averaging 3.78 walks per nine innings.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .297 with 21 homers and 67 RBIs. Both his home run and RBI total are the best in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 12 homers but is batting just .240 for the season. Over his last six games, Austin Riley has two homers but is batting just .238.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Their team batting average of .243 is 12th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in isolated power and slugging percentage. Atlanta comes into the game with a team BABIP of .29, which is 7th in the league.
Giants vs Braves Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Braves matchup is to take the Giants on the money line, with the payout sitting at +104. We actually have the Giants winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you a couple of different ways to bet this one.
If you are looking for a starting pitcher to have a big day, Charlie Morton is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters. As for Logan Webb, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the fourth lowest among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 4, 2024 Braves, Giants