Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 7/14/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (58-36) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (47-48) on Sunday, July 14th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.

Guardians vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+104)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Guardians have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • Guardians have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Rays.
  • Guardians have a better overall record (58-36) compared to the Rays (47-48).
  • Guardians have a winning record on the road (28-25) while the Rays have a losing record at home (26-27).
  • Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 away games.

Guardians vs Rays

cleveland guardians nba

Cleveland picked up a 4-2 road win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rays got on the board with one run in the 3rd and added their final run in the 5th.

Gavin Williams only went five innings for the Guardians but gave up just one run and three hits. He finished the game with just two strikeouts but induced nine ground ball outs. Nick Sandlin got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save.

Jhonkensy Noel and Angel Martinez each homered for the Guardians, while Andres Gimenez scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Josh Naylor also had a two-hit game at the plate.

As underdogs, the Guardians have a 16-16 record and have lost five straight games. However, when favored, they are 42-20. Their overall series record this season is 20-8-2, and they have an overall run line record of 48-46 with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game.

Cleveland is currently 1st in the AL Central with a 4.5-game lead over the Twins. They have an overall record of 58-36 and are looking to take the series lead over the Rays today. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-41.

Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians

Ben Lively is getting the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.59 ERA. Lively’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. The right-hander has turned in five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.73 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Lively finished with a no-decision, giving up six hits, six earned runs, and one homer in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Jose Ramirez has been one of the MLB’s top run producers this season, as his 77 RBIs are 2nd in the league, and he is also 5th in the league with 23 home runs. Ramirez is batting .274 for the season and has gone 7/19 in his last five games. Josh Naylor is also among the league leaders in RBIs, as his 70 is the 3rd most in the league. Naylor is batting .248 for the season and has gone deep 22 times.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Cleveland is also among the league leaders in home runs and has the 11th best team batting average in the MLB.

The Rays are 4th in the AL East, 10 games behind the Orioles. They have a 47-48 overall record and are 12-18 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay has split the first two games of their series vs. the Guardians and have an overall series record of 16-12-2 this year.

As underdogs, the Rays are 25-18 vs. the run line and 19-33 as favorites. Their average run differential is -0.7 runs per game, but in wins, they are winning by an average of 2.5 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 16 of 28 games with this total, with their games averaging 8 runs.

Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays

Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and is facing the Guardians at home. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 5-5. Pepiot’s ERA is 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.13. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Pepiot picked up the win vs. the Yankees, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. At home, they are scoring just 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 16th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Isaac Paredes is the Rays’ top power threat, as his 15 homers are 1st on the team and 13th in the MLB. However, he is hitting just .201 for the season and has gone just 5/32 in his last 10 games. Yandy Diaz comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .276 for the season.

Guardians vs Rays Prediction

Our pick for today’s Guardians vs. Rays matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout being +104. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at today’s starting pitchers, Ryan Pepiot is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is fourth worst among today’s starters. As for Ben Lively, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him in the middle of the pack.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.