The Cleveland Guardians (43-23) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (33-35) on Friday, June 14th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on SNET. Both the Guardians and Blue Jays are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.
Guardians vs Blue Jays
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Reds with a 4-2 loss on the road. The Guardians were the slight favorite at -107 on the money line. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Reds scored in the bottom of the first.
Tanner Bibee got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on four hits. Cleveland’s offense scored their other run in the 5th but couldn’t complete the comeback. José Ramírez and Steven Kwan each had two hits and scored one run apiece.
Cleveland is on the road today to take on the Blue Jays, with the Guardians’ overall record sitting at 43-23, good for 1st place in the AL Central. They hold a five-game lead over the Royals in the division. The Guardians have gone 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central.
The Guardians have been really good at home this year, going 21-8, and they have also played well on the road at 22-15. As the favorite, the Guardians are 30-14 this year, and they are 13-9 when coming into a game as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 15-5-2, and they split their most recent series vs. the Reds.
When the Guardians win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in those games is +3.6. This has led to a run line record of 37-29 on the season. They have been a profitable run line team on the road, going 21-16, and have been particularly good as an underdog, going 16-6 against the run line.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Guardians have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 31-30. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-6-2, and 43.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Logan Allen Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending left-hander Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 5.57. Allen’s WHIP for the season is 1.51, and opponents are batting .285 off him this year. In his 13 starts, Allen has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.52 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Allen finished with a no-decision vs. the Marlins, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 18 home runs are the best mark in the league and also lead the Guardians. He also leads the team with 62 RBIs and comes into the game with a batting average of .273. Ramirez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/25 in his last six games with two homers. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 17 homers are 2nd on the team and 5th in the MLB.
As a team, the Guardians are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .239 as a team, which is 13th in the league, and have the 10th ranked slugging percentage in the league.
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Brewers scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Toronto was the +106 underdog on the road going into the game.
Chris Bassitt put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Brewers batters. However, the Blue Jays couldn’t close things out, and Zach Pop took the loss out of the bullpen. The Blue Jays also wasted a big game from Davis Schneider, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/4.
Toronto is 33-35 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East. They trail the Yankees by 14.5 games for the division lead. So far, they are 9-10 against other AL East teams. The Blue Jays are at home today, where they are 16-15 this year.
The Blue Jays have dropped two straight series and went 2-1 in their series vs. the Brewers. Toronto has an overall series record of 8-10-4 this year. As the favorite, the Blue Jays are 27-17 and 6-18 as the underdog. They have won three straight games as the favorite.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.2 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. They have a run line record of 32-36, and they have covered the run line in three straight games. Their overall run line record is 32-36, and they are 11-20 against the run line at home. On the road, they are 21-16 against the run line.
The Blue Jays have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 8.3. Their over/under record is 29-37, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 10-9-1. In 41.2% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 4.00. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has a WHIP of 1.25 and opponents are batting .252 this season. In his 13 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and six quality starts. Gausman’s most recent outing was a gem, as he went nine innings, didn’t allow a run, and gave up just five hits. He finished with 10 strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .232, and their team on-base percentage of .308 is just 15th in the MLB. Toronto is also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Currently, Davis Schneider leads the Blue Jays with 32 RBIs, and his eight home runs are 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. However, he is batting just .229 for the season and has gone 4/29 in his last nine games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has also struggled of late, going 6/33 in his last nine games. He is batting .281 for the season and has seven homers.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction
Looking at the money line, we see the Blue Jays taking this one at home by a score of 6-5. With the payout sitting at -131, this is the direction we would recommend going with this one.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Kevin Gausman finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing 18th among starters. As for Logan Allen, his projection is at four K’s, which is the lowest among today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 14, 2024 Blue Jays, Guardians