Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8/22/2024

The Houston Astros (68-58) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (74-54) on Thursday, August 22nd. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on FOX. Both the Astros and Orioles are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:08 CT.

Astros vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-162)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have scored 4 or more runs in 10 of their last 15 games.
  • The Orioles have a home record of 37-28, indicating strong performance at home.
  • The Orioles have won 6 out of their last 8 home games.
  • The Orioles have a better overall record (74-54) compared to the Astros (68-58).
  • The Orioles have a 28-15 record against division opponents, showing strong performance within their division.

Astros vs Orioles

houston astros nba

The Orioles Took The Last Game Of This Series

Houston closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 4-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Red Sox scored one run in the top of the first.

Justin Verlander got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits. The Astros offense scored their only run in the of the 1st, and Alex Bregman went 1/4 with a homer.

On the road, the Astros have an over/under record of 16-25 when the total line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games this season have averaged 8.6 runs per game, with an overall over/under record of 50-72. Houston’s run line record away from home is 34-28, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as underdogs.

Currently leading the AL West by five games, the Astros have an overall record of 68-58. They are 52-42 as favorites and 35-29 at home. Houston has won eight straight road games and three consecutive road series. In divisional games, they are 21-18.

Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros

Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Arrighetti has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 5-11 with an ERA of 5.21. In his 22 appearances, he has a batting average allowed of .245 and has issued 4.23 walks per nine innings compared to 10.9 strikeouts. The right-hander has made six quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 2nd in the league in team batting average at .261, and they have been one of the best home run hitting teams in the league this season. As a team, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. One area they have struggled in is drawing walks, as they are just 25th in the league in that category.

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. Yainer Diaz has also been a big run producer for the Astros, as he has 71 RBIs and is on a five-game hitting streak. Over his last nine games, Diaz has gone 13/37 with four homers.

The Orioles Took The Last Game Of This Series

Baltimore is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to the Mets, Austin Slater went deep, going 1/3, and Cole Irvin pitched well, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on five hits. The Orioles also got a good outing from their bullpen, with Seranthony Dominguez striking out three in 1 1/3 innings of work.

Cole Irvin is scheduled to start for the Orioles, going up against the Mets. He took the loss in his last start, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. The Orioles also wasted a big game from Austin Slater, who homered in the first inning, going 3/3.

When the Orioles are the favorite, they have a 61-41 straight-up record, but they are just 19-7 against the run line when they are underdogs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, resulting in a 69-49 over/under record. For games with an 8.5 run total, the O/U record is 21-16.

After losing two of three games to the Mets, the Orioles are a half-game behind the Yankees in the AL East with a 74-54 overall record. At home, they are 37-28, and on the road, they are 37-26. This season, Baltimore’s series record is 23-12-6.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Corbin Burnes will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gave up eight earned runs in four innings of work. In that start, he gave up three home runs. Before that outing, he had gone 19 straight starts without giving up more than two homers in a game. Burnes’ ERA for the season is 3.10, and his record is 12-5. Looking back over his last five outings, Burnes has allowed at least one homer in four of those starts. For the season, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .211 vs. Burnes this year.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

So far this season, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in runs per game, at 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is good for 5th in the league, and are also leading the league in slugging percentage and isolated power. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in OPS. Baltimore’s offense is averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson are the Orioles’ top home run hitters this season, with 37 and 33 home runs, respectively. Henderson is batting .287 overall and has gone 11/38 with four homers over his last 10 games. Santander’s batting average is just .237 for the season. He is currently on an 11 game hitting streak.

Astros vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for the Astros vs. Orioles game is to take the over at 8.5 runs. We see the Orioles coming out on top with a final score of 6-5, giving us some wiggle room if you want to take the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Corbin Burnes finishing with five strikeouts compared to Spencer Arrighetti with six. However, we have Burnes finishing with a better ERA than Arrighetti, so you could also look at the Orioles to win and then take the over on Burnes’ strikeout line.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.