Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8/25/2024

The Houston Astros (69-60) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (76-55) on Sunday, August 25th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on ESPN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Astros vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-107)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have won 8 of their last 15 games, showing a positive trend in recent performance.
  • In their last 15 home games, the Orioles have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game.
  • The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 home games against the Astros.
  • The Orioles have a better home record (39-29) compared to the Astros’ away record (34-31).
  • The Orioles have outscored their opponents by a total of 12 runs in their last 15 games.

Astros vs Orioles

houston astros nba

Baltimore rallied for three runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Astros series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 6th, picking up a 3-2 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -111 on the money line.

Keegan Akin got the win for the Orioles out of the bullpen, while Seranthony Dominguez got the save. Framber Valdez took the loss for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three runs.

Albert Suarez started for the Orioles, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. He finished the game with just three strikeouts but induced two double plays.

Today, the Astros are on the road, where they have a 34-31 record this season. They are 52-43 overall as the favorite, but against the run line as the favorite, they are 42-53. Houston’s over/under record for the season is 51-74, and games with a total of 8.5 runs have gone over 16 times in 26 matchups, a 38.5% over percentage.

With two straight losses, the Astros are 1-2 in the current series vs. the Orioles and hold a 4.5-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. Their overall record is 69-60, placing them in 1st in the division.

Yusei Kikuchi Gets The Start For The Astros

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.37. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last three outings, Kikuchi has come out with a win in two of them and finished with a no-decision in the other. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision against the Red Sox, giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. He allowed one homer in that outing.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yordan Alvarez has been a big bat for the Astros this season, as his 25 home runs are 1st on the team and 11th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 67. Alvarez is batting .306 this season and has a strong OBP of .395. Yainer Diaz has also been a big run producer for the Astros, as he is batting .302 and leads the team with 71 RBIs. Diaz is also on a 8-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last six games.

Over his last five games, Jose Altuve has two homers and is 5/20. For the season, he is batting .299 and is 4th on the team with 56 RBIs. Alex Bregman has 20 homers this season, but he is batting just .258. The Astros are 3rd in team batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game.

With a 76-55 record, the Orioles are just a half-game behind the Yankees in the AL East. Baltimore has a 28-15 record against divisional opponents this season. They have won two straight games and have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 70-51, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs. Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly higher than their season average line of 8 runs.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through 18 starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 6-9 and an ERA of 4.30. This season, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off a game in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two hits, three walks, and one homer. Kremer has won two straight starts and will be looking to keep that streak going today. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 3.83 compared to 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league and are 1st in team slugging percentage. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Baltimore’s offense is also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. Their team ISO of .194 is also the best in the league.

Anthony Santander comes into the game as the Orioles’ top home run hitter, but he has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .150 over his last five games. Gunnar Henderson has been a key run producer for the team, as his 78 RBIs is 15th in the league and 2nd on the team. He is also batting .284 for the season.

Astros vs Orioles Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles. With the money line payout sitting at -107, we feel this is a great value, and we would recommend locking in a bet on the Orioles to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Yusei Kikuchi’s strikeout prediction at six, which is good for 11th among starters. As for Dean Kremer, we have him finishing with five K’s, which has him 13th in our rankings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.