The Houston Astros (75-63) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (66-73) on Wednesday, September 4th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Astros vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+120)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have a winning streak of 2 games.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents 31-28 in their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have a better home win percentage (.466) compared to the Astros’ away win percentage (.514).
Astros vs Reds
Cincinnati picked up a 5-3 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 5th inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Astros, they scored one run in the 7th and added their final two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +137 on the money line.
Julian Aguiar only went 2 2/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Carson Spiers got the win out of the bullpen, and Justin Wilson got the save. Justin Verlander had a rough outing for the Astros, going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Ty France was the only player in the game to have more than two hits, as he went 4/4 with an RBI. Yainer Diaz had a three RBI game for the Astros.
Currently leading the AL West by 6.5 games over the Mariners, the Astros have a 75-63 record this season. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have a +0.6 run differential. Against the run line on the road, they are 39-31, with an average run margin of +0.3 per game.
For the season, the Astros’ over/under record in games with a total of 9 runs is 11-8-2. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their overall O/U record is 54-79. As favorites, they are 57-44 straight up and 39-31 against the run line on the road.
Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros
Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Reds on the road. This year, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 7-11 with an ERA of 4.63. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.38. In his last outing, he pitched 7 2/3 innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Looking back over his last three outings, Arrighetti has given up two earned runs in each of those starts. He has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear for the Astros, hitting .478 over his last six games with five homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .313 with 30 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league. Alvarez’s 73 RBIs are also 2nd on the team. Catcher Yainer Diaz has also been a big run producer for Houston, leading the team with 78 RBIs while batting .300.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average at .260 and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the 6th best on-base percentage in the league.
As underdogs, the Reds have a 33-40 record straight up and a 47-26 record against the run line. Their overall run line record is 74-65, with a 41-25 record on the road and 33-40 at home. Cincinnati’s series record is 16-25-3, and they have lost their last three series.
Cincinnati has won two straight games and leads their current series against the Astros 1-0. They are 66-73 overall, 15 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, placing them 4th in the division.
Nick Martinez Gets The Start For The Reds
Right-hander Nick Martinez gets the start for the Reds today and comes in with a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.77. He has made 11 starts this year and 37 appearances. Martinez has a WHIP of 1.13 and has turned in two quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he didn’t give up more than one earned run. Opposing batters have hit .248 off Martinez this season.
Reds Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Reds are batting just .233, which is 19th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .307 is also below average. However, they do have a team ISO of .166, which is 9th in the league.
Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ most consistent power threat this season, as his 22 home runs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 61 RBIs. Over his last five games, Amed Rosario has gone 4/14 with a homer and four RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .286.
Astros vs Reds Prediction
Our predicted score for today’s Astros vs. Reds matchup is a 6-5 win for the Reds. Given that you can get the Reds at +120 on the money line, we see this as a great payout for a team that we have winning.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nick Martinez finishing with seven strikeouts and finishing with a line of 5.1 innings, giving up two earned runs. As for Spencer Arrighetti, we have him finishing with seven K’s and going 5.2 innings.
Looking at the Astros lineup, they are projected to finish with nine hits, which has them finishing 12th in the league in hits on the day. As for the Reds, they are projected to finish with 11 hits, which has them finishing with the fifth-most hits in the league.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 4, 2024 Astros, Reds