Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9/5/2024

The Houston Astros (75-64) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (67-73) on Thursday, September 5th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on MLBN. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

Astros vs. Reds Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (+129)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Reds have won 3 out of their last 4 home games, including two wins against the Astros.
  • The Reds have scored an average of 7.75 runs per game in their last 4 home games.
  • The Reds have a winning streak of 3 games, indicating strong recent performance.
  • The Reds have a better home record (35-39) compared to the Astros’ away record (36-35).
  • The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, showing their potential for high offensive output.

Astros vs Reds

houston astros nba

Cincinnati cruised to a 12-5 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only five runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +125 on the money line.

Nick Martinez got the win for the Reds, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. Spencer Arrighetti had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss after going just two-thirds of an inning and giving up nine runs.

Jonathan India and Elly De La Cruz each homered for the Reds. India, Tyler Stephenson, and TJ Friedl each had two hits and three RBIs while scoring at least one run. As for the Astros, Jon Singleton hit the game’s only other home run and drove in three runs.

Currently, the Astros are on a two-game losing streak, which matches their overall losing streak. They have a 75-64 record and are 5.5 games ahead of the Mariners in the AL West. Houston’s series record this season is 24-18-2.

When playing on the road, the Astros have a 39-32 run line record and an average run margin of +0.2. Their over/under record for games with a total of 9 runs is 12-8-2, and the O/U record for the season is 55-79. This season, only 13.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros

Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today and comes in with a record of 11-7 and an ERA of 3.55. So far, he has made 26 starts, and opponents are batting .234 this season. Brown has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 9.49 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Brown finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.28 compared to 11.89 on the road.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear for the Astros, as he is batting .311 for the season and has gone 13/34 with five homers over his last nine games. Alvarez’s 30 homers this season is 11th in the league and is the top mark on the Astros. Yainer Diaz has also been a big power threat for the Astros, as he has 16 homers and is batting .298.

As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team, as they are 10th in the league in homers. Houston is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 4th in the league in this category.

Cincinnati is 14 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they have a 67-73 overall record. The Reds have won three straight games and are looking to end a three-series losing streak. As underdogs, they are 48-26 against the run line and have covered in seven straight games.

On the run line, the Reds are 75-65 overall, with a 41-25 record on the road. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-67. When the total is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 6-19-5.

Rhett Lowder Gets The Start For The Reds

Rhett Lowder will be making his second start of the season for the Reds, and he will be taking on the Astros at home. In his first start, Lowder took a loss against the Brewers, going 4 innings and giving up 1 earned run on 2 hits and 4 strikeouts.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as his 63 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team, and he is also leading the team with 22 homers. De La Cruz is batting .265 for the season and comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Spencer Steer is also on a nice run, going 11/26 in his last seven games. For the season, Steer is batting just .234 but does have 19 homers, which is the 3rd most in the Reds lineup.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a bit below average in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. However, they have been one of the better power-hitting teams in the league this season.

Astros vs Reds Prediction

Our predicted score for this Reds vs. Astros matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Reds. With the Reds being the underdog at +129, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the higher payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Brown has the second-best strikeout projection among today’s starters, but we have him going just two innings, which doesn’t give him a great chance to pick up the win. As for Rhett Lowder, he is projected to go the fewest innings among starters, but we have him finishing with six strikeouts and giving up the fewest earned runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.