Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7/5/2024

The Houston Astros (45-42) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (49-38) on Friday, July 5th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Astros vs. Twins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (+135)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Astros have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • The Astros have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • The Astros have won 7 of their last 8 road games.
  • The Astros have outscored their opponents by 30 runs in their last 15 games.
  • The Astros have a 2-game winning streak coming into this matchup.

Astros vs Twins

houston astros nba

The Astros Are Coming Off A Win

Houston closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 5-3 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Astros, as they scored three runs right out of the gates. The Blue Jays could only score three runs total and all of them came in the 3rd.

Framber Valdez put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Jeremy Pena, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

As the underdog, the Astros have a 13-8 run line record and have covered the run line in six straight games. They have won six straight series overall and three straight on the road, heading into today’s game vs. the Twins. The Astros are 45-42 on the season and are two games behind the Mariners in the AL West.

For the season, the Astros’ Over/Under record is 33-50, with their games averaging 9 runs per game. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than usual, as 58 of their games have had higher lines. Heading into today’s game, the Astros have won two straight and are 34-32 as favorites this season.

Shawn Dubin Gets The Start For The Astros

Right-hander Shawn Dubin is getting the start for the Astros today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made one start and 15 appearances this season. Dubin’s record is 1-1, and he has an ERA of 4.91 to go along with a WHIP of 1.56. Opposing batters are hitting .271 this season off Dubin. In his last outing, he went 3 1/3 innings, giving up no earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three appearances, Dubin has given up just one earned run in each outing. He has not allowed a homer in his last three outings.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been two of the top power hitters in the league this season, as they are both tied for 7th in the league with 19 home runs. Alvarez is batting .302 for the season, while Tucker is at .266. Alvarez has been especially hot of late, going 13/30 in his last nine games with three homers and eight RBIs. Tucker is also on a three-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Astros are the top hitting team in the league, batting a combined .264. They are also 1st in the league in fewest strikeouts per game and are 7th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and 5.1 runs per game at home.

The Twins Are Coming Off A Win

Ryan Jeffers and the Twins’s offense was hot in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, a 12-3 win. Jeffers went 3/4 with four RBIs and a homer. The Twins really broke things open with a seven-run 3rd inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Twins were at -181 at home.

Bailey Ober started for the Twins, going six innings and giving up just one run on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Minnesota has a 49-38 overall record and is six games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins have won four straight series and have an overall series record of 17-9-2 this season. Their average run margin is 0.5 runs per game, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, resulting in a 43-42 over/under record.

As the favorite, the Twins are 40-21 straight up and 29-32 against the run line. They have a 25-17 home record and are 24-21 on the road. Minnesota’s games with an over/under line of 8 runs have gone 6-11-2 this season, and the over has hit in four straight games.

Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins

Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today vs. the Astros and comes into the game with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 4.88. So far this season, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .242 off the right-hander. López has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 10.53 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he pitched well, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. He picked up the win in that start vs. the Mariners. Before that, he hadn’t allowed a homer in three straight outings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

minnesota twins

Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda come into the game on impressive hitting streaks for the Twins, with Correa having hit in seven straight games and Miranda having a hit in eight straight games. Over his last six games, Miranda is batting .458, while Correa is 6/18 in his last five games. For the season, Ryan Jeffers leads the Twins in RBIs (46) and has 14 homers, which is 12th in the league. Jeffers is batting just .237, but his 46 RBIs are the best on the team.

As a team, the Twins are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in homers and have the 8th best team batting average in the MLB.

Astros vs Twins Prediction

Our predicted score for this Astros and Twins matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Astros. With the Astros being the underdog on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up a win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Shawn Dubin finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the seventh highest among all starters. As for Pablo Lopez, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him as the 16th highest.

Offensively, we have the Astros finishing with 12 hits, compared to the Twins, who we have finishing with nine. And if you’re looking at home runs, the Astros are projected to hit three, while the Twins are projected to hit just one.

With the payout for an Astros win, we see this as a great value pick and would recommend taking them on the money line.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.