The Houston Astros (46-42) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (49-39) on Saturday, July 6th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on None. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.
Astros vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-122)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Twins have won 10 of their last 15 games, showcasing strong recent form.
- In their last 15 games, the Twins have averaged 6.6 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
- At home, the Twins have a solid record of 25-18, demonstrating their home-field advantage.
- In the last 15 games, the Twins have scored 10 or more runs in 4 games, highlighting their explosive scoring potential.
- The Twins have a head-to-head win against the Astros in their last series, winning 2 out of 3 games.
Astros vs Twins
It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Astros vs Twins series. Houston went into the matchup as +128 underdogs and squeaked out a 13-12 win. The Astros had a huge 9th inning, scoring seven of their thirteen runs. As for the Twins, they scored five of their twelve runs in the 7th.
Shawn Dubin got the start for the Astros, going just 2 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out two. Bryan Abreu got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the save. Pablo Lopez had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six runs.
Jose Miranda hit the game’s only home run while going 4/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Alex Bregman did a bit of everything for the Astros, going 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros have won six straight series and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. They are currently 2nd in the AL West, two games behind the Mariners. Houston’s overall record is 46-42.
On the run line, the Astros are 23-22 on the road and have covered it in seven straight road games. Their games this season have averaged 9.1 runs, resulting in a 34-50 O/U record. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than usual, as 58 of their games have had higher O/U lines.
Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros
Hunter Brown has been pitching well for the Astros, as he has won his last four starts. In his most recent outing, he faced the Blue Jays and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Brown has made 16 starts, and his ERA is 4.07. Opponents are batting .232 this season off Brown. The right-hander has a record of 6-5 and a WHIP of 1.33. Brown’s ERA on the road is 18.51 compared to 3.55 at home.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game and batting a collective .265. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. One of the keys to their success has been their ability to avoid strikeouts, as the Astros are the league’s best team in this category. Houston also comes into the game with the league’s best slugging percentage.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been two of the Astros’ top power threats this season, with both players having 19 homers. In his last eight games, Alvarez has gone 12/28 with three homers and nine RBIs. Jose Altuve is on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .310 for the season.
Minnesota is 49-39 overall, and they have won four straight series. The Twins are 40-22 as the favorite this season, and their run line record is 42-46, with an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and the over/under record is 44-42.
The Twins are 2nd in the AL Central, six games behind the Guardians. Their road series winning streak is at three, and they will be at home for today’s game after dropping the first game of the series vs. the Astros.
Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins
Through 17 starts, Joe Ryan has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.21. He has made 11 quality starts this season and is coming off a game in which he allowed just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Mariners, Ryan gave up two earned runs and finished with a no-decision. Ryan has not taken the loss in any of his last three outings. The right-hander has a WHIP of .96 and is averaging 9.55 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 15 home runs.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana is 2nd on the Twins with 12 home runs this season and is 4th on the team with 39 RBIs. However, he comes into the game with a batting average of just .247. Catcher Ryan Jeffers has gone deep 14 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. He is also the team’s current leader in RBIs, with 46. Jeffers has also been on a nice run of late, going 13/20 in his last five games.
Jose Miranda has been on a tear of late, going 13/20 in his last five games, including one home run and six RBIs. He is also on a nine-game hitting streak. Shortstop Willi Castro is batting .266 for the season and is on a good stretch of his own, as he is 4/16 in his last four games.
Astros vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Twins game is to take the Twins on the money line at -122. We have the Twins winning this one by a final score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, we have Joe Ryan finishing with five strikeouts, which has him 18th among starters. As for Hunter Brown, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him 10th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 6, 2024 Astros, Twins