The Houston Astros (46-43) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (50-39) on Sunday, July 7th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.
Astros vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-126)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Twins have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Twins have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.
- The Twins have outscored the Astros 27-22 in their last 4 head-to-head games.
- The Twins have a better home record (26-18) compared to the Astros’ away record (22-24).
Astros vs Twins
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Astros by a score of 9-3. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the Astros and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -135 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Joe Ryan for the Twins and Hunter Brown for the Astros. Ryan went just 5 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Brown was tagged for seven runs in six innings of work.
Byron Buxton and Brooks Lee each homered for the Twins, while Willi Castro went 3/5 with an RBI. Max Kepler also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Heading into today’s game against the Twins, the Astros have won six straight series and have a 16-11-1 series record this season. They are 24-19 at home and 23-23 against the run line on the road. Overall, their run line record is 45-44, and the average run margin in their road games is -0.2.
For the season, the over/under record in Astros games is 35-50, and the average runs per game is 9.2. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and the O/U record in games with a 9-run line is 10-7-2.
Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros
Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 6.13. So far this season, he has made 15 starts, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. Arrighetti has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 10.43 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Arrighetti’s ERA at home is 9.6, compared to 8.32 on the road.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per game. Not only are the Astros the league’s top-hitting team, but they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez are both in the top 15 in the league in home runs, with Alvarez leading the team with 50 RBIs.
Alvarez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/16 in his last five games with two homers and seven RBIs. Altuve is also on a good stretch, as he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Overall, Altuve is batting .310 with 13 homers and 40 RBIs. Kyle Tucker is also tied with Alvarez for the team lead in homers and is batting .266 for the season.
Minnesota has a 50-39 record this season and are currently six games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. They have won four straight series and have an overall series record of 17-9-2. The Twins are 7-3 in their last ten games.
Against the run line, the Twins are 43-46 overall. They have a +0.6 run differential per game and are 13-13 over/under as underdogs. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and Minnesota’s O/U record with a 9-run line is 7-2. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs this season, and they are currently on a 6-game over streak.
Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Astros at home. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .220 this season off Woods Richardson, and he has a WHIP of 1.13. In his 14 starts, Woods Richardson has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.53 strikeouts per nine innings. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision vs. the Tigers, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are both in the top 15 in the league in home runs for the Twins, with Jeffers leading the team with 46 RBIs. Jeffers is also on a 10-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 18/33. Over his last seven games, Byron Buxton is hitting .423 with three homers and 10 RBIs.
As a team, the Twins are 4th in scoring at 5 runs per game and are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. They have been especially good at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.
Astros vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for this Astros vs. Twins matchup is that the Twins will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the Twins at -126 on the money line, this is the way we would recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Simeon Woods Richardson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Spencer Arrighetti with six. However, we have Richardson finishing with a better chance of picking up the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 9, 2024 Astros, Twins