The Houston Astros (41-41) travel to face off against the New York Mets (40-40) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on WPIX. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Astros vs Mets
Houston rallied for three runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th in the most recent game of this Astros vs. Mets series. The Astros scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 8th, picking up a 9-6 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were at -101 on the money line.
Framber Valdez got the start for the Astros, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up six runs and striking out five. Seth Martinez got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the save. Reed Garrett took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.
At the plate, Jake Meyers and Mauricio Dubon each had two hits and two RBIs for the Astros. Yordan Alvarez also had a two-hit game and scored a run. For the Mets, Mark Vientos hit the game’s only home run and went 2/4 with three RBIs.
Houston is at an even .500 at 41-41 as they take on the Mets today. The Astros are 4.5 games behind the Mariners in the AL West, and they lead the Rangers by 4.5 games for the second spot in the division. The Astros are 15-12 against other teams in the AL West this year.
The Astros have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 14-11-1. At home, they are 24-19 compared to 17-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 31-32 this year, and they are 10-9 as the underdog.
When betting the run line, the Astros have been a better play at home than on the road this season. They are 22-21 against the run line at home compared to 17-22 on the road. Their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, but it jumps to +1.1 runs per game at home and drops to -0.5 runs per game on the road. Houston has been a better play against the run line as an underdog, going 11-8 compared to 28-35 as a favorite.
The Astros are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 30-48. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 9-7-2. So far this season, 61% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Shawn Dubin Gets The Start For The Astros
Right-hander Shawn Dubin is getting the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 14 appearances this season but has yet to make a start. Dubin’s ERA for the season is 5.64, along with a record of 1-1. Looking at his numbers, Dubin has a WHIP of 1.66 and is coming off an outing in which he went 1 inning out of the bullpen, giving up one earned run on one hit. He finished with a no decision in that outing. One of his most recent outings came on June 21st, where he got the win, going 2 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Opponents are batting .302 off Dubin this season.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, with a batting average of .264. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. Houston is even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Jose Altuve has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/31 in his last seven games, with two homers and six RBIs. Yordan Alvarez is also on a four-game hitting streak and leads the team with 41 RBIs. Alvarez is 10th in the league with 16 homers, while Kyle Tucker is just ahead of him in 7th place with 19 homers.
With a record of 40-40, the Mets are 12.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 11-10 in divisional matchups. The Mets have won six straight series, and their overall series record is 13-12-3 this year.
At home, the Mets are 21-24 this season and 19-16 on the road. This year, they have been slightly better as the favorite, going 21-20. As the underdog, the Mets are 19-20 this season. Looking at their overall record, the Mets have been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last ten games.
The Mets have a run line record of 38-42 this season, with a run differential of +0.2 runs per game. They are 17-28 against the run line at home, but 21-14 on the road. They have a run differential of -0.2 runs per game at home and +0.6 runs per game on the road. They are 24-15 against the run line as an underdog and 14-27 as a favorite. In their wins, their average run differential is +3.5 runs per game, while in their losses, it’s -3.2 runs per game.
The Mets have been playing in a lot of high-scoring games lately, as their combined run average over the last 10 games is 9.5 runs per game. Their over/under record on the season is 42-36, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-2-2. Their over streak is currently at 4 games.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Cubs on June 23rd, he picked up the win, going 6 innings and giving up 0 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has made 15 starts and has a record of 5-2. His ERA for the season is 3.29, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Opposing batters are hitting .213 off Severino this season. The right-hander has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.07 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 6th in the league in runs per game at 4.8. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the 7th best team batting average in the MLB. The Mets have been swinging the bats well of late, with Francisco Lindor hitting .375 over his last seven games, and Mark Vientos has four homers in his last six games.
Brandon Nimmo has been the Mets’ top run producer this season, with 47 RBIs and is also 3rd on the team with 12 homers. Pete Alonso leads the team with 17 homers but is batting just .244 for the season. The Mets have three players on decent hitting streaks right now, with Lindor having hits in five straight games.
Astros vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Mets game is to take the Astros on the money line at +133. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us some nice value on the money line.
Looking at some potential player props, Luis Severino is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 11th among starters. As for the Mets, they are projected to finish with eight hits, which is the eighth lowest in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 30, 2024 Astros, Mets