Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7/20/2024

The Houston Astros (51-46) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (52-47) on Saturday, July 20th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Astros vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mariners (-118)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • Mariners have a strong home record with 30 wins and 19 losses, compared to the Astros’ away record of 23 wins and 25 losses.
  • In the last 15 games, the Mariners have scored 5 or more runs in 6 games, showing a potent offense.
  • Mariners have won 4 out of their last 6 home games, indicating a recent strong performance at home.
  • In head-to-head matchups at home this season, the Mariners have won 3 out of 4 games against the Astros.
  • Mariners’ offense has shown the ability to score in bunches, with games of 11, 8, and 7 runs in the last 15 games.

Astros vs Mariners

houston astros nba

Houston picked up a 3-0 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a three-run 3rd inning and didn’t score another run after that. As for the Mariners, they had scoring opportunities in the 4th and 5th innings but couldn’t push across a run.

Seattle actually outhit the Astros in the game 4 to 6. Victor Robles had two hits for the Mariners, while Yainer Diaz had the only hit for Houston. Diaz made it count though, as he drove in two of the Astros’ three runs.

Hunter Brown started for the Astros and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. Josh Hader got the save. Luis Castillo had a rough outing for the Mariners, taking the loss after going seven innings and giving up three earned runs.

Today’s game between the Astros and Mariners is crucial, as both teams are tied for the AL West lead with a 51-46 record. Houston leads the division and took the first game of this series. The Astros have an overall series record of 17-12-1 this season.

When the Astros play on the road, they have a 25-23 record against the run line this season. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs, resulting in an over/under record of 38-55. For games with a total of 7 runs, the under has hit in all four matchups. Heading into today’s game, the under has cashed in three straight Astros games.

Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros

Left-hander Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.66 ERA. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. Valdez’s most recent outing was a good one, as he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. In that outing, he had 10 strikeouts. Valdez has won each of his last three starts.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, batting a collective .262. They are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, with 110 homers, which is 9th best in the league. Overall, the Astros are averaging 4.7 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, with Altuve having 14 homers and Alvarez at 19. Alvarez’s 52 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and Altuve is 4th with 44 RBIs. Kyle Tucker is also tied with Alvarez for the team lead in homers, and he comes into the game with a team-best on-base percentage of .395.

Seattle is 2nd in the AL West, five games behind the Astros. The Mariners have an overall record of 52-47 but have lost four straight, including the series opener vs. Houston. Their series record is 13-15-2, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

Against the run line, Seattle is 44-55 this season, including a 21-17 record as underdogs. Their games have averaged 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 67.7% of their games. Currently, they are on a 3-game under streak.

George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-7 and an ERA of 3.29. This year, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .223 off the right-hander. In his 20 appearances, Kirby has turned in 13 quality starts, and his WHIP for the season is .99. Looking back at his last outing, Kirby took the loss vs. the Angels, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone 1-0 in three straight outings.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez have been two of the Mariners’ worst hitters this season, but both have been swinging the bat well of late. Raleigh is hitting just .213 for the season but has gone 13/41 in his last 10 games with five homers. Rodriguez has gone 14/29 in his last 10 games and is batting .265 for the season. His 10 homers is the 3rd best mark on the team.

As a team, the Mariners are the league’s worst team in terms of batting average and are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game and home batting average. Overall, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. However, they do come into the game with a collective batting average of .280 over their last 10 games.

Astros vs Mariners Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Astros vs. Mariners matchup is 7-6 in favor of the Mariners. With the Mariners at -118 on the money line, we see this as a great payout for a team that we have coming out on top.

Looking at the starting pitchers, George Kirby is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him 16th among starters. As for Framber Valdez, he is predicted to finish with nine strikeouts, which has him at ninth among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.