The Houston Astros (43-41) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (38-46) on Tuesday, July 2nd. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on None. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-116)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• The Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games, indicating a strong offensive capability.
• Toronto has a 5-3 record in their last 8 home games, showing a solid performance at home.
• The Blue Jays have won 3 out of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, demonstrating their ability to compete against strong opponents.
• In the last 15 games, the Blue Jays have held their opponents to 3 runs or fewer in 5 games, highlighting their effective starting pitching.
• Toronto has a higher home win percentage (47.6%) compared to Houston’s away win percentage (46.3%), giving them a slight edge at home.

Astros vs Blue Jays

Houston rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Astros vs. Blue Jays series. The Astros scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 3-1 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -132 on the money line.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Yariel Rodriguez, as he gave up just one run in 6 2/3 innings of work for the Blue Jays. Hunter Brown started for the Astros and also gave up just one run across six innings of work. Brown got the win in the game, while Josh Hader got the save.

Offensively, the Astros were led by Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena, as they were the only two Astros hitters to have more than one hit. Alvarez and Alex Bregman each drove in a run for Houston’s offense.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 43-41 overall and have won three straight games. They are 3.0 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. In their last 10 games, Houston has an impressive 9-1 record. This season, they have gone 15-12 in divisional matchups.

On the run line, the Astros have a 19-22 record on the road and an overall record of 41-43. The average run margin in their games is 0.4. The over/under record for Houston games is 31-49, and the average total line is 9 runs. For games with an 8.5 run line, the over/under record is 9-14.

Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros

Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with a 5.68 ERA. Opponents have hit .260 off Arrighetti this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.60. Arrighetti’s last outing was a good one, as he went seven innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. His ERA at home is 9.6 compared to 7.58 on the road.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, batting a collective .264. They are also the top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game, averaging just six strikeouts per contest. Houston’s offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they are averaging 5.1 runs per contest, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 17 homers is the 2nd best mark on the team and 9th in the league. He is also leading the team in RBIs with 43. Kyle Tucker is right behind him in the home run department, with 19 long balls. Over his last six games, Tucker is hitting .381, with one homer. Jose Altuve has also gone deep in one of his last five games and is hitting .381 in that stretch.

When favored, the Blue Jays have a 29-20 record, but as underdogs, they are just 9-26. Overall, Toronto is 38-46, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games, including two straight losses. In the AL East, they are 15 games behind the Orioles, who lead the division.

This season, Blue Jays games have averaged 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 39-42. When the total is 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 11-16. Against the run line, they are 24-18 on the road, but at home, they are 15-27. The Blue Jays’ overall run line record is 39-45.

José Berríos Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

José Berríos will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Yankees. In that start, he went seven innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has made 17 starts and has a record of 7-6. His ERA for the season is 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Berríos has turned in 12 quality starts this year and has a BB/9 figure of 2.25 compared to 6.58 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has given up 18 homers. At home, Berríos is 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is coming into the game on a seven-game hitting streak, and over his last nine games, he is batting .436 with six homers and 20 RBIs. For the season, Guerrero Jr. is batting .297 with 13 homers and 50 RBIs, which is 13th in the league. Daulton Varsho is 2nd on the team with 11 homers but is batting just .197.

Overall, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. As a team, they are batting just .235. However, they do come in as one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -116. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the payout being just below even money, we see this as a good value pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have José Berríos finishing with five strikeouts, which is the same as Spencer Arrighetti. However, we have Berríos finishing with a better ERA and giving up fewer hits than Arrighetti.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.