The Seattle Mariners (44-32) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (45-26) on Thursday, June 20th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on MLBN. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.
Mariners vs Guardians
Cleveland cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 5th inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Mariners, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster one run.
Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 12 strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work.
Josh Naylor was the offensive star for the Guardians, going 3/4 with two homers and four RBIs. He scored twice and finished with a slugging percentage of 2.000. Steven Kwan also had a two-hit game and scored twice.
Seattle is currently 44-32 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL West. They have a nine-game lead over the Astros for the division lead. So far, they have been really good against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5. The Mariners have won two straight games and are 8-2 across their last 10.
At home, the Mariners have gone 27-12 this year, but they are just one game above .500 at 17-16 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 28-18 this year, and they are 16-14 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-8-2, and they have won two straight series.
Despite a positive run differential on the season, the Mariners have been a losing bet on the run line overall, going 37-39. They have been a better bet at home, going 21-18, compared to 16-21 on the road. Seattle has been a run line favorite in 46 games, going 20-26, while they have been an underdog in 30 games, going 17-13.
Seattle has been a part of a lot of high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game. The Mariners have a 30-43 over/under record on the season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they are just 5-10-1. However, the over has hit in their last two games.
Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners
Right-hander Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.33 ERA. Opposing batters have hit .229 off Castillo this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.14. In his 15 starts, Castillo has turned in 10 quality starts. In his most recent outing, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the majors. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .220, and they are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. However, they do have the 7th most home runs in the league.
Julio Rodriguez has been one of the team’s top hitters this season, batting .264 with seven homers. He has also gone 10/40 in his last 10 games, with two home runs. Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with 12 homers but is batting just .203 for the season. Luke Raley and Mitch Garver have also struggled with batting averages of .256 and .179, respectively.
Cleveland is 45-26 overall and leads the AL Central by 5.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians have gone 11-6 in divisional games this year. At home, they are 22-9 and have gone 23-17 on the road. The Guardians have dropped their last two games as the underdog, and their overall underdog record is 14-11. As for their record as the favorite, they are 31-15 this year.
The Guardians’ overall series record is 15-6-2 this season, and they are tied in their current series vs. the Mariners. Cleveland is 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.
When the Cleveland Guardians win, they’ve been doing so by an average of 3.7 runs per game. That’s been a profitable trend for bettors, as the Guardians have gone 40-31 against the run line this season. They’ve been even better at home, going 17-14 against the run line, compared to 23-17 on the road. They’ve also been a good bet as the underdog, going 18-7 against the run line in those games.
The Cleveland Guardians are at home today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Guardians have gone over the total in 34 of their 66 games this season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 7 times, under 7 times, and pushed twice. The over has hit in each of their last three games.
Logan Allen Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he has made 14 starts this year. Allen’s record is 7-3, and he comes in with an ERA of 5.30. Looking at his home/away splits, Allen has made five starts at home and is 2-0 with a 9.93 ERA. On the road, he is 5-3 with a 7.07 ERA. In his last outing, Allen gave up just one earned run in five innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Blue Jays. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .280 off Allen this season.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better of late, as they are averaging 5.8 runs per game over their last 10 games. Cleveland has been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams this season and have two of the league’s top five home run hitters in Josh Naylor and José Ramírez.
Not only does José Ramírez lead the Guardians in RBIs, but his 18 homers are 2nd on the team and 5th in the league. Naylor is right behind him with 19 homers and is batting .237 for the season. However, he has been hot of late, going 10/26 in his last seven games with three homers.
Mariners vs Guardians Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians. So, we would recommend taking them on the money line at -109. Offensively, the Guardians lineup is projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Mariners with eight.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Allen is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Luis Castillo with six. However, Allen is projected to go just 3 innings, and Castillo is projected to finish with five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 20, 2024 Guardians, Mariners