The Miami Marlins (29-52) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (53-28) on Friday, June 28th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 5:20 CT.
Marlins vs Phillies
Miami picked up a 7-4 road win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +248 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Trevor Rogers for the Marlins and Zack Wheeler for the Phillies. Rogers only went six innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Wheeler went 6 2/3 innings and gave up two earned runs.
Philadelphia wasted a good outing from Wheeler, as he gave up just two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Jeff Hoffman came out of the bullpen for the loss. Anthony Bender got the win out of the bullpen for the Marlins as Rogers got a no-decision.
Miami is 29-52 overall this season, and they are 24 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone just 6-17 in divisional games. The Marlins are on the road today, where they are 13-25 this season.
At home, the Marlins have gone 16-27. Miami has struggled as the favorite this year, going just 3-12. As the underdog, they are 26-40 this season. The Marlins’ overall series record is 7-18-1, and they are currently up 1-0 in this series vs. the Phillies.
When betting on the Marlins’ run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they have covered the run line in 34 of 66 games in that role. They have been a favorite in only 15 games and have covered the run line just once. Their overall run line record is 35-46, and their average run margin this season is -1.5 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for these two teams. The Marlins have played 80 games this season, and 42 of them have gone over the total. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins are 15-14 on the over/under for the season. Overall, 12 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Kyle Tyler Gets The Start For The Marlins
Kyle Tyler is getting the start for the Marlins today against the Phillies. This will be his 2nd start of the season, as he went 4 innings in his first outing, giving up 2 earned runs on 3 hits. He also has a bullpen appearance under his belt, in which he went 2 innings and gave up 1 run.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has really struggled in the power department, as they are dead last in the league in home runs and also have the worst team ISO in the league.
One of the few bright spots in the Marlins lineup has been Bryan De La Cruz, who is batting .245 for the season and has gone 10/37 with two homers over his last nine games. He also leads the team with 39 RBIs and is 11th in the league with 14 homers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with 10 homers, and is batting .260 overall.
With an overall record of 53-28, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 12-7 in divisional matchups. The Phillies have been tough to beat at home this year, putting together a record of 31-13. On the road, they are 22-15.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games this season, going 35-14. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 47-22 and are 6-6 as the underdog. The team they are facing today is the Marlins, who lead the series 1-0.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 43-38 overall. They have been especially strong at home, going 23-21 on the run line. The Phillies have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game this season, and they have been a profitable run line bet as the favorite, going 37-32.
The Phillies have played 76 games this season, and only 21% of them have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8.5. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 35-41. When the line has been set at 8.5, they are 6-10.
Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with a 2.67 ERA. Sánchez has turned in eight quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he went seven innings and gave up just four hits. Sánchez has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.66 ERA compared to 4.55 on the road.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run-hitting team and are batting .259, which is the 3rd best mark in the MLB. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is that they are the league’s top on-base percentage team.
Bryce Harper has been one of the Phillies’ top hitters this season, batting .303 with a team-high 20 home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 9/22 in his last five games with two homers and seven RBIs. Harper is also on a 12-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber are also having good seasons, with Bohm batting .301 and Schwarber at .250 with 17 homers.
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Phillies matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. We see this game finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. However, with the money line payout for the Phillies being -260, we see the better value being to take the over at -108.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Christopher Sanchez finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Kyle Tyler with five. Sanchez is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Tyler, giving him a better chance to pick up the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 28, 2024 Marlins, Phillies