The Miami Marlins (44-75) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (69-49) on Tuesday, August 13th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-180)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• Phillies have a strong home record with 38 wins and 21 losses.
• Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
• Phillies have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
• Phillies have a better overall record (69-49) compared to the Marlins (44-75).
• Phillies won their last head-to-head home game against the Marlins on June 30th, scoring 7 runs.

Marlins vs Phillies

The Marlins Are Coming Off A Win

The Marlins pulled off a big upset in their most recent game, closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 7-6 win. Miami was the +173 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning and added another three runs in the 2nd.

San Diego’s offense scored six runs on 10 hits but couldn’t pick up the win. The Padres were the -200 favorite on the money line going into the game.

As the underdog, the Marlins have a 54-48 run line record, but as the favorite, they are just 2-15. Overall, Miami is 40-62 as the underdog and 4-13 as the favorite. The Marlins are 44-75 this season, 25.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they have lost two straight series.

This season, the Marlins and their opponents have averaged 8.7 runs per game, resulting in a 66-50 over/under record. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and their O/U record in games with a 9-run line is 3-11. The over has hit in their last two games, and only 4.2% of their games have had O/U lines of 9 runs or higher this season.

Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins

Valente Bellozo is making his 3rd start of the season for the Marlins, and he has a win and a no-decision in his first two outings. Bellozo picked up the win in his last start, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 4 against the Reds. He has given up 2 homers in 10 innings of work so far this season.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

Over his last six games, Miami’s Jake Burger has been on fire, going 10/24 with five home runs and six RBIs. Burger’s 22 homers this season is 11th in the league and leads the Marlins. He also leads the team with 53 RBIs. Burger is also on a five-game hitting streak. Josh Bell is on a seven-game hitting streak for the Marlins.

Overall, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.7 runs per game. This is a result of being near the bottom of the league in home runs and having a team batting average of just .237. As a team, they are also last in the league in walks and have a collective on-base percentage of just .293.

The Phillies Took The Last Game Of This Series

Philadelphia closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 12-5 loss. Heading into the game, the Phillies were the slight favorite at -130 on the money line. Things started off well for the Phillies, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the bottom of the first.

Cristopher Sanchez got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs on 12 hits. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Phillies also had a three-run 7th inning but couldnjson’t complete the comeback.

Philadelphia is looking to end a three-game losing streak today, as they lead the NL East by 7.0 games over the Braves with a 69-49 record. The Phillies have a 38-21 record at home this season and are 58-37 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 58-60, with a +0.8 run margin per game.

In games with a total line of 9 runs, the over has hit in 10 of 16 matchups for the Phillies. Their season average runs per game is 8.9, and the over has hit in their last two games. Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 46-71 and are 20-39 on the road.

Taijuan Walker Gets The Start For The Phillies

Taijuan Walker will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, where he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. In that start, he gave up three home runs. Overall, Walker has a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 5.60. Looking at his home/away splits, he has an ERA of 5.8 at home compared to 5.57 on the road. Walker has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .282 this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.3 strikeouts and 3.57 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and are batting a collective .255, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB right now. Philadelphia also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 6th in the league in walks.

Over his last 10 games, Kyle Schwarber has been on fire for the Phillies, going 14/39 with five home runs and 11 RBIs. Schwarber’s 27 homers for the season are 7th best in the league and is 2nd on the team, behind Bryce Harper, who has 26 homers and is batting .279 for the season.

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, which means there is some good value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs. We see Taijuan Walker finishing with five strikeouts compared to Valente Bellozo with six.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bellozo has the better chance of picking up a win, but we have him going just six innings compared to Walker, who we have going six. If you’re looking for a pick on the money line, then the Phillies are the way to go, but we like the over in this one.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.