The Miami Marlins (45-75) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (69-50) on Wednesday, August 14th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+160)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• The Marlins have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
• The Marlins have won 4 of their last 6 road games.
• The Marlins have a recent head-to-head win against the Phillies, scoring 5 runs on August 13th.
• The Marlins have a win streak of 2 games entering this matchup.
• The Marlins have outscored their opponents 25 to 20 in their last 5 wins.

Marlins vs Phillies

Miami cruised to a 5-0 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their five runs. As for the Phillies, they didn’t get on the board until the 7th inning. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +176 on the money line.

Valente Bellozo pitched well for the Marlins in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Taijuan Walker had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.

Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Xavier Edwards scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5.

The Miami Marlins, who are 5th in the NL East, have a 45-75 record and are 24.5 games behind the Phillies. They have an overall series record of 10-23-4 and have covered the run line in three straight games. Miami’s games have averaged 8.7 runs this season, and their over/under record is 66-51. In games with a total of 9 runs, the under has hit 12 times compared to 3 overs.

As underdogs vs. the run line, the Marlins are 55-48, but as favorites, they are just 2-15. Their average run margin in wins is +2.8, while in losses, it drops to -3.7. Miami has won two straight games and has a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.

Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he comes in with a record of 2-3 and ERA of 5.21. So far, Cabrera has made 12 starts, and he has turned in two quality starts. One of those came in his most recent outing, where he went seven innings vs. the Padres and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cabrera’s ERA on the road is 9.18 compared to 4.68 at home. Opponents are batting .218 off the right-hander this season.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s game, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Their team batting average is just .237, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they are just 16th in the league in this category.

Over his last 10 games, Jake Burger has been on fire, going 14/41 with seven homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .251 with a team-high 54 RBIs and 23 homers. Jesús Sánchez is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 15 homers so far in 2023.

Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East, holding a six-game lead over the Braves, but they have dropped four straight games, including losing the series opener vs. the Marlins. Their overall record is 69-50, and they are 15-11 in divisional games.

Against the run line, the Phillies are 58-61 this season, with a 28-32 record at home and 30-29 on the road. Their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 55-58. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-11-1, with 17 games having that total, which is 14.3% of their games this season.

Tyler Phillips Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Tyler Phillips is getting the start for the Phillies today vs. the Marlins and comes into the game with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 4.83. Phillips has made 6 appearances this year and has turned in 2 quality starts. One of those quality starts was a complete-game shutout. In his last outing, Phillips gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work vs. the Dodgers, but he did come away with the win in that outing. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Opponents are batting .233 off Phillips this season, and his WHIP is 1.07.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they also have a collective batting average of .254, which is 6th in the league.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Harper hitting 26 homers and Schwarber at 27. Harper has been especially hot of late, going 13/36 in his last nine games, with two homers. Alec Bohm has also been a key run producer for the Phillies, as his 80 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league.

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction

With the Marlins coming in as +160 underdogs, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins, giving us some room to take them on the money line or to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Edward Cabrera finishing with around six strikeouts, which is good for third among starters today. As for the Phillies’ starter, Tyler Phillips, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts and see the Phillies’ offense finishing with just nine hits, which is the 10th most in the league today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.