The Miami Marlins (23-46) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (33-36) on Saturday, June 15th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Marlins vs Nationals
Washington cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 2nd.
MacKenzie Gore pitched well for the Nationals in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but did issue one walk. Shaun Anderson got the start for the Marlins, going just two innings and giving up seven runs.
At the plate, the Nationals were led by Lane Thomas and CJ Abrams, as they were the only two Nationals hitters to have more than one hit. Thomas did the most damage, as he went 2/5 with a home run and three RBIs.
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-46, putting them 24 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have dropped three straight games heading into today’s matchup at the Nationals, and they are just 5-15 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Marlins are only 12-25 this year and 11-21 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, coming in with an underdog record of 20-34 this year. Miami has dropped five straight series and their overall series record is 5-16-1.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 17-15. Their average run margin on the road is -1.2 runs per game. They are 1-14 against the run line as the favorite, but 27-27 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.1 runs per game, while it is -4.0 runs per game in losses.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Washington Nationals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season, and Miami has an over/under record of 37-31 on the year. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have gone over the total 15 times and under 11 times. Overall, 47.8% of Miami’s games this season have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Trevor Rogers is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Guardians, where he gave up one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Rogers finished with a no-decision in the game. Before that outing, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Rogers’ record for the season is 1-7, and his ERA is 5.37. Opponents are batting .291 off the left-hander this season. Per nine innings, Rogers is averaging 7.55 strikeouts and 4.5 walks.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. However, they have been a bit better at home, averaging 3.9 runs per game. Miami’s offense has been one of the worst home run-hitting teams in the league this season and have the league’s worst isolated power number.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. comes into the game as the Marlins’ top home run hitter, with 10 homers, which is 11th in the league. He also leads the team with 33 RBIs and is batting .254 for the season. Chisholm Jr. has gone deep twice in his last five games, going 6/19 over that stretch. Jake Burger has also hit two homers in his last five games, going 5/17 in that stretch. Tim Anderson is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 9/16 in his last four games.
Washington is 33-36 overall and is 14 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 12-10 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals are currently riding a four-game winning streak, with all of these wins coming at home.
As the favorite, the Nationals have gone 4-3 this year and are 2-2 as the home favorite. They have been a lot better than .500 as the underdog, putting together a mark of 29-33. Washington has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 9-12-1 this year.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 42-27 overall and 25-13 on the road. The Nationals have covered the run line in four straight games and are 17-14 at home. They have been the underdog in most of their games this season, going 38-24 against the run line in those contests.
The Washington Nationals host the Miami Marlins today with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Nationals have played 66 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 32-34, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 11-11. This season, 19 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 27.5% of their games.
DJ Herz Gets The Start For The Nationals
Getting the start for the Nationals today is DJ Herz, who will be making his third start of the season. He has a loss and a no-decision in his first two outings, and in his last start, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 4 hits and striking out 5.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense comes into today’s game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .234 and are 25th in the league in home runs. However, they do have two hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, as CJ Abrams and Lane Thomas have both gone deep twice in their last eight games, with Abrams hitting .333 in that stretch.
For the season, Abrams is hitting .257 with a team-high 36 RBIs, and his 11 homers are 10th in the league. Eddie Rosario is 2nd on the team in home runs but is batting just .185 for the season. Rosario has also been struggling of late, with just one home run in his last eight games and a batting average of .345 in that stretch.
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Nationals, and we recommend taking them on the money line at -120. Offensively, the Nationals are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Marlins, who are projected to finish with nine.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have DJ Herz finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Trevor Rogers with five. Herz is projected to go 5.2 innings, and Rogers is projected to go 5.1.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 15, 2024 Marlins, Nationals