The Miami Marlins (23-47) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (34-36) on Sunday, June 16th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on BSFL. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Marlins vs Nationals
Washington cruised to a 4-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Marlins, they had their best scoring chance in the 8th inning, putting up two runs.
DJ Herz pitched well for the Nationals in this one, going six innings and striking out 13 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Trevor Rogers took the loss for Miami.
Jake Burger was the only Marlins hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4. Lane Thomas had a good game at the plate for the Nationals, going 2/4 with a home run.
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-47, which has them 24 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak includes dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Nationals. So far, they are just 5-16 in divisional games.
At home, the Marlins are only 12-25 this season, and they are just one game better on the road at 11-22. This year, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-12, and they are 20-35 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 5-16-1 and have lost five straight series.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 17-16. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 27-28 against the run line. They are 1-14 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.1, while their average run differential in their losses is -4.0.
When the Miami Marlins hit the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Marlins and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-32 overall. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Marlins are 5-6-1 to the over. In 52.9% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Jesús Luzardo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Jesús Luzardo gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 5.11. Luzardo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Luzardo has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. His ERA on the road is 6.04 compared to 5.65 at home.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Overall, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 54 home runs are the worst in the league. As a team, they are batting just .232 and have the league’s worst isolated power number. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jake Burger are both on nice hitting streaks and have gone 6/16 and 6/17, respectively, in their last five games.
Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz are the Marlins’ top home run hitters this season, with 10 and 11 homers, respectively. Chisholm Jr. is also the team’s current RBI leader, with 33 RBIs. De La Cruz is 3rd on the team in RBIs and is batting .243 for the season.
Washington is 34-36 overall and 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 13 games. The Nationals have won two straight games and are 7-3 over their last 10. So far, they have gone 13-10 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Nationals are 15-17 this year and an even 19-19 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 29-33 compared to 5-3 as the favorite. The Nationals have won five straight games at home, and they are 12-15 as the home underdog this year. Washington’s overall series record is 9-12-1, and they have won two straight series.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 43-27 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 25-13 against the run line. They have covered the run line in five straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 38-24 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.5 in losing games.
The Nationals have played 67 games this season, and 42 of them have had an over/under line set at over 8 runs. That’s 60.0% of their games. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 32-35. When the line is set at exactly 8 runs, their record is 5-5-1.
Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA. Parker’s WHIP for the season is 1.09, and opponents are batting .220 off him this year. In his 11 starts, Parker has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 6.71 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Parker finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone seven innings in back-to-back outings.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the majors. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 56 home runs are 21st in the league. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 12th in the league, but their team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all in the bottom third of the league.
Joey Meneses and CJ Abrams come into the game as the Nationals’ top two power threats, but Meneses is batting just .244, and Abrams is hitting .257. Eddie Rosario has seven homers but is batting just .185. Lane Thomas has been hot of late, going 11/29 in his last eight games, with two homers and six RBIs.
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Nationals game is that the Nationals will pick up a 5-4 win. With the Nationals’ money line sitting at -120, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jesús Luzardo finishing with six strikeouts, and he has the second-best ERA projection among today’s starters. As for Mitchell Parker, we have him finishing with five K’s and his ERA projection is the seventh best among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 16, 2024 Marlins, Nationals