New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/29/2024

The New York Mets (69-64) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (76-57) on Thursday, August 29th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 2:40 CT.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-118)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Diamondbacks have won 11 of their last 15 games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 7.2 runs per game.
  • The Diamondbacks have won 7 of their last 8 home games.
  • In their last 3 home games against the Mets, the Diamondbacks have scored an average of 5.0 runs per game.
  • The Diamondbacks have a better overall record (76-57) compared to the Mets (69-64).

Mets vs Diamondbacks

new york mets nba

Arizona cruised to an easy 8-5 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Mets, they scored four of their five runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -128 on the money line.

Eduardo Rodriguez got the start for the Diamondbacks, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out five. He did not factor into the decision. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen, and Justin Martinez got the save. Luis Severino had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.

Corbin Carroll was the difference for the Diamondbacks, as he went 2/5 with two homers and five RBIs. Both Joc Pederson and Adrian Del Castillo each drove in two for Arizona’s offense.

As the underdog, the Mets have a 26-29 record, while their run line record as the favorite is 31-47. Overall, their run line record stands at 63-70. The over has hit in two straight games for the Mets, bringing their over/under record to 68-61 for the season.

The Mets, who are 5-5 in their last 10 games, are currently in 3rd place in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies. They have a 34-31 record on the road and will be looking to improve their 35-33 home record today in Arizona.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-1 with a 2.85 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.32, and opponents are batting .230 off him this year. In his last outing, Peterson picked up the win, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, he has allowed a total of three earned runs. So far, he has made eight quality starts and is averaging 6.96 strikeouts per nine innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets of late, going 9/27 in his last six games with two homers. He also has a current eight-game hitting streak. For the season, Lindor is batting .270 with 27 homers and 78 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as he has 28 homers this season, which is 9th in the league. He is batting just .244 for the season.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game and are 5th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and are 8th in slugging percentage. New York comes into the game 10th in scoring and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Arizona has been a strong bet as the underdog this season, going 42-24 against the run line. Overall, they have a 70-63 run line record. The Diamondbacks are 38-27 at home and 38-30 on the road. They have won two straight series and are 22-14 against NL West teams.

Today’s game features two teams that have been playing high-scoring games, as the Diamondbacks have a 74-52 over/under record this season. The average total in their games is 10 runs, but today’s O/U line is set at 8.5 runs.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Red Sox on August 23rd, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with seven strikeouts. Looking back over his last three outings, Nelson has made 10 quality starts this year and has a record of 9-6. His ERA for the season is 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.28. So far, he has an ERA of 6.51 at home compared to 3.97 on the road.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have a team batting average of .261, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Over his last eight games, Corbin Carroll has been on a tear, going 9/33 with four homers and 10 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s home run lead. Jake McCarthy is also on a seven-game hitting streak coming into the game. Leading the Diamondbacks in RBIs is Ketel Marte, who has 81 RBIs and is also batting .298.

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for the Mets vs. Diamondbacks game is that the Diamondbacks will pick up a 7-6 win. Given that they are at -118 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have David Peterson lasting longer than Ryne Nelson. However, Nelson has a better chance of picking up the win. Nelson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Peterson is at six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.