The Miami Marlins (40-70) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (60-49) on Saturday, August 3rd. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSFL. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.
Marlins vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-248)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Braves have won 4 of their last 5 games, indicating strong recent performance.
- In the last 15 games, the Braves have scored an average of 4.6 runs per game, compared to the Marlins’ 3.2 runs per game.
- The Braves have a home record of 32-21, while the Marlins have an away record of 18-36, showing a significant advantage for the Braves at home.
- The Braves have won all 5 of their head-to-head matchups against the Marlins this season, including the last 2 games at home.
- The Braves’ offense has been consistent, scoring 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
Marlins vs Braves
The most recent game o of this Braves and Marlins series came right down to the end, as the Marlins rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-3 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -258 on the money line.
Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and giving up just three hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts and picked up a win. Aaron Bummer got the win out of the bullpen, and Joe Jiménez got the save.
Valente Bellozo had a two-home run game for the Marlins, going 2/5 with five RBIs. Jonah Bride also homered for Miami and drove in two runs. Calvin Faucher took the loss on the mound.
Miami is 36-57 as underdogs this season and 2-15 when favored. Against the run line, they are 49-44 when getting points and 26-28 on the road. Their games have gone under the total in 60 of 107 contests, with an average of 8 runs per game.
The Marlins are looking to avoid a sweep by the Braves, as they trail 0-2 in the series. Overall, Miami has a 40-70 record and is 25.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. This season, they have a 9-23 record against division opponents.
Kyle Tyler Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending right-hander Kyle Tyler to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made five starts this year and has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 4.74. Tyler’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.58. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, Tyler has finished with a no-decision in each one. Opponents are batting .276 off Tyler this season, and he has a walk rate of 4.38 per nine innings compared to 7.3 strikeouts.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. This lack of scoring is a big reason they are just 47-61 on the season. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 16th in the league, and have the 23rd ranked on-base percentage in the league. Miami has been even worse in terms of power, as their isolated power numbers are 25th in the league.
Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/27 in his last eight games with four homers. This has moved him into the team lead with 16 homers. Xavier Edwards is also swinging a hot bat, going 13/30 in his last eight games. Both players are on some of the team’s longest hitting streaks, with Burger at four games and Edwards at five. Josh Bell is also on a seven-game hitting streak.
Atlanta’s overall record of 60-49 has them five games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves have won four straight games and are 18-14 in division play. They have an 18-13-4 series record this season and have taken the first two games of the current series vs. the Marlins.
When the Braves are favored, they hold a 53-38 straight-up record, but as underdogs, they are 7-11. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-65. The under has hit in their last two games, and their O/U record when the total is 9 runs is 8-13-3.
Grant Holmes Gets The Start For The Braves
Grant Holmes will be looking to build off his last outing, where he made one start and then came out of the bullpen for three straight appearances. In his most recent outing, he faced the Brewers and went five innings, giving up one earned run on three hits. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Holmes’ ERA for the season is 2.54, along with a record of 0-0. Opponents are batting .190 this season off the right-hander. So far, he has made 11 appearances and one start. Per nine innings, Holmes has 9.21 strikeouts and just 1.59 walks.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .300 and has gone deep a league-leading 31 times. His 85 RBIs are also the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 18 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .225. Over his last five games, Olson is just 3/17.
Orlando Arcia and Matt Olson have both gone deep three times over their last five games, with Arcia hitting .412 in that stretch and Olson batting just .176. Arcia is also on a 12-game hitting streak, while Travis d’Arnaud has a streak of eight games.
Marlins vs Braves Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Braves, and with their money line sitting at -248, there isn’t a ton of value there. Instead, we recommend taking the over, as the line is at 9 runs, and we have this one going for a combined 10 runs.
Looking at some potential player props, Grant Holmes is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and with Kyle Tyler at four, you could look to take the over on Holmes and the under on Tyler.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 3, 2024 Braves, Marlins