The Miami Marlins (41-70) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (60-50) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSE. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Marlins vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-298)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Braves have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- In their last 3 games against the Marlins, the Braves have outscored them 12-9.
- The Braves have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last 5 games.
- The Braves have a better overall record (60-50) compared to the Marlins (41-70).
- The Braves have a home record of 32-22, while the Marlins have an away record of 19-36.
Marlins vs Braves
Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Braves series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +211 on the money line.
Kyle Tyler only went 2 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Declan Cronin got the win out of the bullpen, and Calvin Faucher got the save. Grant Holmes only went 4 2/3 innings for the Braves, giving up three earned runs on seven hits.
Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Nick Fortes scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Marcell Ozuna hit a home run for the Braves, going 1/4.
As underdogs on the run line, the Marlins have covered in 50 of 94 games. Overall, they have a 52-59 run line record and have been outscored by an average of 1.3 runs per game. Miami’s over/under record for the season is 60-48, and the under has hit in their last 3 games.
Miami is 41-70 overall and 10-23 against NL East teams. They are 5th in the division, 24.5 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins are 19-36 on the road this season and are currently losing their series vs. the Braves, 2-1.
Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 6.65. So far, he has made 10 starts and one of them was a quality start. In his 10 appearances, Cabrera has a WHIP of 1.55 and opponents are batting .233 this season. Looking at his numbers on the road, Cabrera is 1-2 with an 11.48 ERA. At home, his ERA is 5.46. The right-hander’s last outing came on July 30th, where he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Marlins 3B Jake Burger has been on a tear of late, going 12/32 in his last eight games with five home runs and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .242 with a team-high 17 homers and 46 RBIs. RF Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins home run and RBI leaderboards, as he has 12 homers and 41 RBIs this season while batting .245.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Atlanta is 60-50 overall and five games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 18-15 against NL East opponents this season and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins.
Braves games have gone under the total in their last three, bringing their over/under record to 39-66 for the season. Against the run line, they are 51-59 overall, with a +0.6 run differential per game. As favorites, they are 42-50 vs. the run line, while as underdogs, they are 9-9.
Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Marlins at home. Fried has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.08 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has a WHIP of 1.16 and opponents are batting .223 off him this season. In his 18 starts, Fried has turned in 10 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. His last outing didn’t go well, as he took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ most consistent hitter this season, as he is batting .300 and has a league-leading 86 RBIs to go along with 32 home runs. Matt Olson has also been a big power threat, with 18 homers, but he is batting just .227 for the season. Olson has gone 5/17 with three homers and four runs scored over his last five games, while Austin Riley is also swinging a hot bat, going 7/21 in this stretch.
As a team, the Braves are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Overall, they are batting .239 and are 24th in the league in strikeouts. Currently, they have three players on a notable hitting streak, with Travis d’Arnaud leading the way at nine games.
Marlins vs Braves Prediction
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Braves matchup is to take the over, as we see the Braves coming out on top with a final score of 6-4. However, with the Braves at -298 on the money line, we see the over at 8.5 runs as the better value.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Max Fried finishing with five strikeouts, while Edward Cabrera is projected to finish with six. As for the Braves’ offense, they are one of the top teams in terms of home runs today, and we have them finishing with 11 K’s as a team.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 4, 2024 Braves, Marlins