The Miami Marlins (32-63) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (47-49) on Sunday, July 14th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSFL. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Marlins vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (-182)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Reds have won 6 of their last 8 home games.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents 66 to 47 in their last 15 games.
- The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 10 of their last 15 games.
- The Reds have a 3-game winning streak, including two wins against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
Marlins vs Reds
Cincinnati cruised to a 10-6 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring six of their ten runs. As for the Marlins, they scored three of their six runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -151 on the money line.
Edward Cabrera got the start for the Marlins, going just 3 1/3 innings while giving up seven runs and took the loss. Sam Moll got the win out of the bullpen for the Reds as Andrew Abbott only went 3 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs.
Rece Hinds had a big game at the plate for the Reds, going 2/3 with two homers and three RBIs. Santiago Espinal also had a two-hit game and drove in two for Cincinnati’s offense.
Miami has a 2-8 record in their last ten games and are currently on a five-game losing streak. They are 30 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with an overall record of 32-63, placing them 5th in the division. Against the run line, the Marlins are 41-54, with a 39-39 record as underdogs and 2-15 as favorites.
The over has hit in 51 of the Marlins’ 93 games this season, with their games averaging 8.6 runs per game. Miami’s games have gone over in four straight, and today’s O/U line of 9 runs is higher than their average line of 8 runs.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 1-9 with an ERA of 4.82. Rogers’ WHIP for the season is 1.59. Looking back at his last outing, Rogers finished with a no-decision vs. the Astros. In that start, he gave up two earned runs on six hits in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Rogers has made three quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.53 strikeouts and 4.12 walks.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .233, which is 18th in the league, and they have the worst isolated power mark in the league at .121. Miami’s team OPS of .637 is also 29th in the MLB.
Bryan De La Cruz comes into the game with a team-high 44 RBIs, and his 16 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. De La Cruz is also batting .245 for the season. Over his last eight games, Jesús Sánchez is hitting .296 with three homers, and Xavier Edwards has gone 13/34 in his last nine games.
After winning three straight games, the Reds are 47-49 overall and are 4th in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. Their run line record is 30-14 on the road and 23-29 at home. The over has hit in five straight games for Cincinnati, and their over/under record is 43-49 this season.
When the total has been set at 9 runs, the under has gone 15-2-3 in Reds games. They are favored to cover the run line tonight against the Marlins, as they look to clinch another series win.
Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Marlins. Lodolo has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.30 ERA. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 9.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Lodolo’s last outing came on July 9th, where he finished with a no-decision, going 3 2/3 innings, and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The left-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-2 and 4.48 ERA compared to 4-1 with a 2.31 ERA on the road.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Over their last six games, Rece Hinds has been on fire for the Reds, going 11/22 with five homers and 11 RBIs. His five homers in this stretch has helped him move into a tie for the team lead in homers with 16. Hinds’ hot stretch has also put him on a six-game hitting streak. Elly De La Cruz and Santiago Espinal are also on five-game hitting streaks.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. So far, they have been a good power hitting team, as they are 11th in homers and have the league’s 7th best isolated power figure. However, they have been one of the league’s worst teams in terms of batting average and have the 25th most strikeouts in the league.
Marlins vs Reds Prediction
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds to pick up the win at home. However, with their money line sitting at -182, we will be looking to the over/under line, where the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Lodolo finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Trevor Rogers, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him in the middle of the pack.
Offensively, the Reds lineup is projected to finish with six runs, which has them hitting the ball out of the park three times. As for the Marlins, they are projected to finish with just four runs and have one of the lower team home run projections on today’s slate.
If you’re looking for a Trevor Rogers prop bet, his strikeout line is sitting at six, and for Nick Lodolo, he is at eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 14, 2024 Marlins, Reds