Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7/26/2024

The Miami Marlins (37-66) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (59-43) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Marlins vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-227)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Brewers have won 6 out of their last 10 games.
  • Brewers have a strong home record with 29 wins and 17 losses.
  • Brewers scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • Brewers have a positive run differential in their last 3 home games (+9).
  • Marlins have a poor away record with 15 wins and 32 losses.

Marlins vs Brewers

miami marlins nba

The Brewers Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Orioles scored three runs in the top of the 8th. Miami was the +178 underdog at home going into the game.

Rodder Muñoz had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. The Marlins also wasted a big game from Josh Bell, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/5.

Miami’s over/under record for games with a total of 7.5 runs is 14-6, and their games this season have averaged 8.6 runs. The Marlins are 46-40 against the run line as underdogs and have covered the run line in three straight games. Overall, Miami’s run line record is 48-55.

The Marlins are 37-66 overall, 27.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they have a 9-21 record in divisional games. On the road, Miami is 15-32, while at home, they are 22-34. This season, the Marlins are 33-53 as underdogs and 4-13 as favorites.

Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins

Left-hander Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 1-9 with an ERA of 4.59. Rogers has yet to win on the road, coming in with a record of 1-4 and 6.06 on the road. At home, his record is 0-5 with a 5.18 ERA. Rogers has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.56 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 4 2/3 innings of work.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just .236, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Over his last six games, Josh Bell has gone 7/21 with three homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move his season average up to .241. Xavier Edwards is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 8/18 in his last six games. Miami’s top power threat right now is Bryan De La Cruz, who is 12th in the league with 17 homers.

The Brewers Are Coming Off A Win

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing one run to the Cubs in the bottom of the first, the Brewers responded with a run of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another run in the 6th inning and closed things out with a 3rd run in the 9th.

Jakob Junis put together a good start for the Brewers, going eight innings and giving up just two runs, and picking up the win. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Jackson Chourio, who went 2/4 with a run scored.

Milwaukee has a 59-43 record and is six games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. They have won two straight games and two straight series. The Brewers are 54-48 against the run line and have an over/under record of 54-44, with their games averaging 8.7 runs.

Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers

Milwaukee is sending Freddy Peralta to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.88 ERA. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, Peralta went six innings and didn’t give up a run vs. the Twins. He finished with eight strikeouts in the outing. Peralta has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 11.39 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has given up 14 homers and is averaging 3.14 walks per nine innings.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

milwaukee brewers

William Contreras comes into the game batting .284 for the Brewers, and his 57 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Willy Adames has been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 16 homers are the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league. Adames is also on an 8-game hitting streak and has gone 10/23 in his last six games.

As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Brewers are one of the league’s best hitting teams, with a team batting average of .254 (5th) and on-base percentage of .332 (2nd).

Marlins vs Brewers Prediction

Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers to get the win, but at -227, we recommend looking at the over/under line, which is sitting at 7.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with seven strikeouts compared to Trevor Rogers, who we have at six. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Peralta’s strikeout line is a good option.

Offensively, our projections have the Brewers finishing with eight hits compared to the Marlins with nine. However, the Brewers are projected to finish with just one more run than the Marlins.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.