The Miami Marlins (23-43) travel to face off against the New York Mets (28-37) on Wednesday, June 12th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Marlins vs Mets
Miami picked up a 4-2 road win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense only had five hits in the game but took advantage of their opportunities, scoring four runs in the 5th and adding an insurance run in the 9th. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 5th and had just four hits for the game.
Jesús Luzardo started for the Marlins and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued a costly home run. Tylor Megill got the start for the Mets and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Tim Anderson was the only Marlins hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Starling Marte and Mark Vientos each had two hits and drove in a run for the Mets.
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-43, putting them 23 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are just 5-12 in divisional games. The Marlins are on a two-game winning streak, and this season, they are 20-31 as the underdog.
At home, the Marlins are just 12-25 this season, but they have been a bit better on the road at 11-18. Miami has struggled as the favorite this season, going 3-12, and they are coming off a loss in their series prior to taking the first game vs. the Mets.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 16-13. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of -0.8 away from Miami. They have been a much better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 26-25, compared to just 1-14 as the favorite.
The Miami Marlins are on the road to take on the New York Mets today, and oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 7.5 runs. This season, the Marlins have played to an average combined run total of 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 35-30. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-5. Overall, 69.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Braxton Garrett Gets The Start For The Marlins
Braxton Garrett and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Mets, and Garrett is coming off of a loss in his last start. That outing was at home vs. the Rays, where he went 2 2/3 innings, giving up 5 runs on 6 hits. He does have a win vs. the Padres and has 1 no-hitter on the season.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .233, which is 14th in the league and have the 21st ranked home run total in the league.
Josh Bell and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 31, and are also 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively. Both players are also batting .249 for the season. Bryan De La Cruz also has 11 homers this season, which is 11th in the league, and is batting .249. De La Cruz has two homers in his last eight games and has gone 8/31 during that stretch.
The Mets host the Marlins with an overall record of 28-37, which puts them 4th in the NL East. New York trails the Phillies by 17.5 games in the division and are 9-10 in the NL East this year. So far, they have an overall record of 15-17 as the favorite and 13-20 when listed as the underdog.
At home, the Mets are just 13-23 this year, and they are only a game above .500 at 15-14 on the road. New York has dropped four straight at home, and their overall series record is 8-12-3. The Mets have won two straight series on the road.
The Mets are a team that has been a bit of a mixed bag when it comes to the run line this season. They have an overall run line record of 29-36, but they have been much better on the road, going 18-11. They have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 11-25. They have been an underdog in 33 games and have gone 18-15 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential on the season is -0.5 runs per game.
The New York Mets are playing at home against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 33-30. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mets have gone over the total 8 times and under 10 times. Overall, 56.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
David Peterson is taking the mound at home for the Mets today against the Marlins. Peterson has started two games this season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Nationals. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 5.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240 and are 12th in the league in home runs. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 32 apiece. Alonso also leads the team with 14 homers, which is 8th in the MLB right now.
Starling Marte comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .284 for the season. He has six homers and 26 RBIs. Shortstop Francisco Lindor is 2nd on the team with 31 RBIs but is batting just .231 for the year. However, he does have 10 home runs.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -151. We have the Mets winning this game 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, David Peterson of the Mets has a higher strikeout projection than Braxton Garrett. Peterson is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. Garrett is projected to finish with six strikeouts.
If you’re looking for a Mets vs. Marlins player prop, you could look at Peterson’s strikeout total or even his over/under for hits allowed, as he is projected to give up fewer hits than Garrett.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 12, 2024 Marlins, Mets