The Miami Marlins (23-44) travel to face off against the New York Mets (29-37) on Thursday, June 13th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSFL. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Marlins vs Mets
New York cruised to a 10-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added three more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Marlins scored their first two runs in the 5th and added two more in the 7th.
David Peterson only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Braxton Garrett struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up four runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Tyrone Taylor had a big game at the plate for the Mets, going 4/5 with an RBI. Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez each drove in two for New York’s offense.
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-44, which has them 23 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are just 5-13 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins have really struggled as the favorite this year, going just 3-12, and they are only one game better on the road compared to their 12-25 mark at home.
The Marlins have dropped four straight series and are 5-15-1 in series play this year. Miami is also just 3-7 over their last ten games and have struggled on the road, where they are 11-19 this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 16-14 versus the number away from Miami. They have been a poor run line bet as the favorite, going just 1-14, but have been a solid play as the underdog, going 26-26. Their overall run line record is 27-40, with an average run margin of -1.5 runs per game.
When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season. Miami’s over/under record for the season is 36-30, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 14 of their 24 games. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in just 10 of Miami’s 67 games this season.
Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins
Roddery Muñoz and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Mets. Muñoz has started 3 games this season and has a 1-2 record. His last outing was a loss to the Guardians, where he went 4 innings, giving up 4 runs on 5 hits. He has yet to go more than 6 innings in a start this season.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 52 home runs are the worst in the league. As a team, they are batting just .233, and their team isolated power of .116 is also the worst in the MLB. Miami’s team OPS of .634 is also the worst in the league.
Over his last nine games, Bryan De La Cruz has gone 9/35 (.257) with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .249 with a team-leading 11 homers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is right behind him with nine homers and has driven in a team-high 32 runs. Chisholm Jr. is also batting .250 for the season.
With an overall record of 29-37, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 16.5 games. So far, they are just 10-10 in divisional matchups. The Mets are at home today, where they are 14-23 this season.
New York has gone 6-4 across their last 10 games and will be looking to take the series lead over the Marlins today. The Mets are 8-12-3 in series this year, and they have won two straight series on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 16-17 and 13-20 as the underdog.
When betting the run line in Mets games, you’d be better off taking them on the road, where they are 18-11 against the run line. At home, they are just 12-25, and they have a negative run differential both overall and at home. They are 12-21 against the run line as the favorite and 18-15 as the underdog.
The Mets have played in 64 games this season, and 21.2% of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 34-30. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-5. The over/under line for today’s game against the Marlins is 8.5 runs.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Nationals. In that June 5th outing, he went eight innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has made 12 starts and has a record of 4-2. His ERA for the season is 3.25, along with a WHIP of 1.14. Opponents have a batting average of .204 vs. Severino this season. Out of his 12 starts, Severino has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.25 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed five homers and is averaging 3.38 walks per nine innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Starling Marte has been a great addition to the Mets lineup this season, batting .288 with seven homers and 28 RBIs. He also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are tied for the team lead with 32 RBIs, with Alonso leading the team with 14 homers. Lindor has gone 12/42 in his last 10 games, with two homers and seven runs scored.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best batting average.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for the Mets vs. Marlins game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, giving us some room in case you want to take the Mets on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Severino is a much better option than Roddery Muñoz. We have Severino finishing with six strikeouts compared to Muñoz with five. If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Mets are projected to finish with the fourth-most home runs in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 13, 2024 Marlins, Mets