The Miami Marlins (45-77) travel to face off against the New York Mets (63-59) on Saturday, August 17th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Marlins vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-188)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Mets have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games.
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 games against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.
- The Mets have a 21-16 record against division opponents, while the Marlins have a 12-25 record against division opponents.
Marlins vs Mets
New York cruised to a 7-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -264 on the money line.
Sean Manaea pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and giving up just three runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts and allowed one home run. Roddery Muñoz had a rough outing for the Marlins, giving up four earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.
At the plate, Jake Burger hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs. Brandon Nimmo scored twice for the Mets while going 2/5.
When favored, the Marlins have struggled this season, going 4-13 straight up. Overall, they are 41-64 as underdogs. Miami is currently 27 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, sitting in 5th place with a 45-77 record. They have gone 12-25 against NL East opponents.
For the season, the Marlins’ run line record is 57-65, with a 29-30 record on the road and 28-35 at home. Their over/under record is 68-51, and the over has hit in their last two games. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, while their average total line for the season is 8 runs.
Max Meyer Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending right-hander Max Meyer to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.20. Meyer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his 36 1/3 innings of work, Meyer has given up seven homers. Looking back at his last outing, Meyer picked up the win vs. the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. So far, he has made two quality starts this year.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage. One thing they have been good at is avoiding strikeouts, as they are 17th in the league in this category.
Jake Burger has been on an absolute tear for the Marlins over his last five games, going 9/20 with four home runs and 10 runs scored. For the season, Burger is hitting .253 with a team-high 55 RBIs and 24 homers. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, with 15 long balls this season.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and the over has hit in five straight games. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games is 63-55. New York’s series record this season is 18-16-7, and their overall record is 63-59, putting them 3rd in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies.
The Mets have gone 31-28 on the road and 32-31 at home. As the underdog, they have a 28-21 record, but as the favorite, they are 40-33. New York is 4-6 in their last ten games, and they took the series opener vs. the Marlins.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending right-hander Luis Severino to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 4.17. So far, Severino has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Mariners. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Severino has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 4.25.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor has been on a tear for the Mets, hitting .375 over his last nine games, with one home run and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .263 and leads the Mets with 70 RBIs. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with Alonso’s 26 homers leading the team and Nimmo’s 17 being 4th.
As a team, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250, which is 10th in the league.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for the Mets vs. Marlins game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 5-4, meaning there is a little bit of wiggle room if you’d like to take the Mets on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Severino finishing with six strikeouts compared to Max Meyer with seven. However, we do have Severino finishing with a lower ERA than Meyer.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 17, 2024 Marlins, Mets