The Miami Marlins (45-78) travel to face off against the New York Mets (64-59) on Sunday, August 18th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on None. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 11:05 CT.
Marlins vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-197)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Mets have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Mets have a 5-2 record in their last 7 games against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
- The Mets have a better home record (33-31) compared to the Marlins’ away record (21-39).
Marlins vs Mets
New York cruised to a 4-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Marlins, they didn’t get on the board until the 4th inning. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -195 on the money line.
Luis Severino pitched a gem for the Mets in this one, going nine innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Max Meyer took the loss for Miami. Meyer went just four innings and gave up four earned runs.
Offensively, the Mets had just two more hits than the Marlins and struck out seven more times. However, they still picked up a convincing 4-0 win. Heading into the game, the Mets had scored the second-fewest runs in the league.
Marlins games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-52. When the total is 8.5, they are 23-19. Miami is 41-65 as underdogs straight up, but they have a profitable 55-51 record against the run line in that role.
Currently, the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a 45-78 record, 28 games behind the Phillies. They have lost three straight games, including the first two games of this series against the Mets.
Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Valente Bellozo will be on the mound for the Marlins as they take on the Mets. Bellozo has been solid through his first two starts of the season, picking up wins in both outings. He went 7 innings in his last start, giving up 4 hits and striking out 4.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Currently, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. The team’s batting average of .237 is just 15th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Jake Burger has been red hot for the Marlins of late, going 8/19 in his last five games with three homers and four RBIs. For the season, Burger is batting .254 and leads the team with 55 RBIs. His 24 homers are 12th in the league. Jesus Sanchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, with 15 homers this season.
The Mets have a 64-59 record and are currently on a two-game winning streak, leading the series against the Marlins 2-0. They are 3rd in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies. New York’s over/under record this season is 63-56, with an average of 9.4 runs per game.
Against the run line, the Mets have a 59-64 record, but as underdogs, they are 28-21. The over has hit in 62.2% of their games with an 8.5 run total, and 25.2% of their games have had totals of 8.5 or higher.
Paul Blackburn Gets The Start For The Mets
Paul Blackburn gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Marlins and comes into the game with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 4.43. Looking at his overall numbers, Blackburn has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting .234 this year. In his 12 appearances, Blackburn has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.25 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently faced the Marlins on August 13th, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets over the past 10 games, going 17/43 with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .265 and is the team’s leader in RBIs. Lindor also comes into the game on a current 11-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/40 with four homers in his last 10 games.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .250, which is 8th in the MLB.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for the Mets vs. Marlins game is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, giving us some room if you wanted to take the money line, as the payout is at -197.
If you’re looking for a payout, we would recommend taking the over, as we have the Mets winning by just one run. Looking at the starting pitchers, Paul Blackburn has a better chance of picking up the win than Valente Bellozo, but we have Blackburn finishing with just four strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 18, 2024 Marlins, Mets