The Miami Marlins (39-67) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (54-52) on Tuesday, July 30th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSFL. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.
Marlins vs. Rays Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Rays (-174)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Rays have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent performance.
- The Rays have a home record of 29-28, showing they are competitive at home.
- In their last 5 home games, the Rays have won 4, demonstrating a strong home-field advantage recently.
- The Rays have outscored their opponents 22-8 in their last 4 home wins, showcasing their offensive strength at home.
- The Marlins have a poor away record of 17-33, indicating they struggle on the road.
Marlins vs Rays
The Rays Took The Last Game Of This Series
Xavier Edwards was hot at the plate in the Marlins’ most recent game vs. the Brewers, going 4/4 with a homer and two RBIs. However, the Marlins still took the 6-2 loss. Miami was the +179 underdog going into this road matchup. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Brewers scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Kyle Tyler got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. The Marlins also issued two walks and hit a batter. Miami’s bullpen was able to keep the Brewers off the board for the final three innings, but the damage had already been done.
As underdogs, the Marlins have a 35-54 record this season, but as favorites, they are just 4-13. Overall, Miami is 39-67 and sits in 5th place in the NL East, 26 games behind the Phillies. They have won two straight series and are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Miami’s run line record is 50-56, with a 25-25 mark on the road. Against the run line as favorites, they are 2-15, but as underdogs, they are 48-41. The over has hit in 15 of the 21 games with a total of 7.5 runs for the Marlins this season.
Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Rays. He comes into the game with a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 7.04. So far, Cabrera has made nine starts, and he has only turned in one quality start. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.5 strikeouts and 5.63 walks. The last time he pitched, Cabrera finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .241 off Cabrera this season.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Josh Bell has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, going 12/34 with five homers and nine RBIs over his last nine games. Bell is currently 2nd on the team with 14 home runs this season, and he is batting .239 for the season. Xavier Edwards is also swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, going 13/29 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.6 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in walks, on-base percentage, and team slugging percentage.
The Rays Are Coming Off A Win
The Rays’s offense was carried by Brandon Lowe in their most recent game vs. the Reds, a 2-1 win. Lowe went 2/4 with two singles and a run scored. The Rays only had three total hits but scored their two runs in the 8th inning to pick up the win. Tampa Bay was the +101 underdog at home going into the game.
Shawn Armstrong got the start for the Rays, going two innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win out of the bullpen. Garrett Cleavinger also pitched well in relief, going 2.1 innings, and didn’t give up a run. Pete Fairbanks closed things out in the 9th, picking up the save.
Currently, the Rays are 2.5 games behind the A’s for the second Wild Card spot and 8.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East with a 54-52 overall record. They have won two straight games and hold a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
When favored against the run line, the Rays have struggled, posting a 21-34 record. Overall, their over/under record is 50-51, and the average runs per game in Rays matchups this season is 8.4. Today’s O/U line of 7.5 runs is low for the Rays, as 66% of their games have had higher totals. The under has hit in their last three games.
Jeffrey Springs Gets The Start For The Rays
Coming off a season in which he made three starts and three appearances, Jeffrey Springs is set to take the mound for the Rays in their matchup against the Marlins. Springs finished the season with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of .56. In terms of quality starts, the left-hander had two. When it came to strikeouts, Springs averaged 13.5 per nine innings and finished the season with a K/BB ratio of 6.0. Overall, Springs allowed just one home run and averaged 1.3 walks per game.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Yandy Diaz and Isaac Paredes have been the top power threats for the Rays this season, as Paredes’ 16 homers leads the team, and Diaz is 2nd on the team with nine homers. Paredes is also the team’s leader in RBIs, coming into the game with 55. Paredes comes into the game with a batting average of .245, while Diaz is hitting .270. Jose Siri is also near the top of the home run leaderboard for the Rays, but he is batting just .199 this season.
Brandon Lowe and Randy Arozarena have been two of the Rays’ hottest hitters of late, with both players batting .333 over their last seven and nine games, respectively. Lowe has three homers in his last nine games, while Arozarena has three homers in his last seven games. Curtis Mead comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak.
Marlins vs Rays Prediction
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays to win straight up at home. However, with the money line payout sitting at -174, we actually recommend taking the over on the game line, with the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Edward Cabrera is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Rays starter Jeffrey Springs. However, Springs is projected to finish with fewer earned runs and hits allowed, giving him a better chance to pick up the win.
If you’re looking for a parlay bet, you could look to pair the Rays with another team, as we see this being a one-sided matchup in favor of the Rays.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 30, 2024 Marlins, Rays