The Milwaukee Brewers (64-49) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (60-53) on Thursday, August 8th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSO. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 11:20 CT.
Brewers vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-144)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
- In the last 15 games, the Braves have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games, indicating a strong offensive performance.
- The Braves have won 4 out of their last 6 home games, showing a favorable trend when playing at home.
- Against the Brewers in their last series, the Braves won 2 out of 3 games, demonstrating recent success against this opponent.
- The Braves have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Brewers (3rd), suggesting overall better performance this season.
- The Braves have a positive run differential in their last 15 games, scoring 60 runs while allowing 66, indicating competitive games and potential for wins.
Brewers vs Braves
Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Brewers picked up an 8-5 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Milwaukee’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Braves got on the board with two runs in the 5th and added their final three runs in the 9th.
Freddy Peralta only went five innings for the Brewers but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Pierce Johnson came out of the bullpen for the win. Chris Sale struggled on the mound for the Braves, going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on nine hits.
Austin Riley hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Blake Perkins did a bit of everything for the Brewers, going 3/5 with three runs scored while stealing two bases.
Milwaukee is 5-5 in their last 10 games and have a 64-49 overall record, leading the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have covered the run line in two straight games and are 34-27 against the run line on the road this season.
As underdogs, the Brewers have a 22-15 record and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Brewers
Frankie Montas will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Nationals. In that outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking back further, Montas has had a rough go of it, giving up at least 4 earned runs in three straight outings before the one vs. the Nationals. Montas’ ERA for the season is 5.03, and he has a record of 5-8. Opponents are batting .252 this season vs. Montas. Out of his 20 starts, he has six quality starts, and his ERA on the road is 6.81 compared to 5.98 at home.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Over his last 10 games, Rhys Hoskins has gone 13/39 with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie with Willy Adames for the team lead in homers at 19. Adames is also on a good stretch, as he is batting .282 in his last 10 games and has gone deep three times. Catcher William Contreras has been a solid run producer for the Brewers, as his 63 RBIs is the 2nd best mark on the team.
Both Jackson Chourio and Rhys Hoskins come into the game on nice hitting streaks, with Chourio having a six-game streak and Hoskins having hit safely in his last 12 games. Chourio has been even hotter of late, going 15/41 in his last nine games.
Atlanta has had a tough time as favorites against the run line, going 42-53, and they are looking to avoid a sweep today after losing the first two games of the series. The Braves are currently 7.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with a 60-53 overall record.
Braves games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-67. The under has hit in 88.5% of their games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, and their O/U record at 9.5 runs is 4-4. Today’s over/under line is set at 9.5 runs.
Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing against the Marlins, he only gave up five hits and issued two walks. Looking back a bit further, Morton has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 6-6. His ERA for the season is 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.25. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Morton this season. So far, he has pitched nine quality starts and is averaging 8.76 strikeouts per nine innings.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 homers are 3rd in the league and the top mark in the Braves lineup. Ozuna is also batting .297 for the season and has driven in 86 runs, which is also 3rd in the MLB. Matt Olson has also been a key power source for the Braves, as his 18 homers are 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. However, Olson is hitting just .229 for the year.
Austin Riley has been swinging a hot bat for the Braves, going 13/36 in his last nine games, including two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, Riley is batting .303 with 22 homers. Orlando Arcia and Matt Olson have also been swinging the bat well of late, with each having three homers in their last nine games.
Brewers vs Braves Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -144. We actually have the Braves winning this one 6-5, so there is some value on the over, but with the line sitting at 9.5 runs, we are sticking with a Braves win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Charlie Morton is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among today’s starters. As for Frankie Montas, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is right in the middle of today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 8, 2024 Braves, Brewers