The Milwaukee Brewers (29-21) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (26-25) on Saturday, May 25th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.
Brewers vs Red Sox
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Red Sox by a score of 7-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out six more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +114 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jared Koenig for the Brewers and Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Koenig only went two-thirds of an inning but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. On the other side, Crawford was tagged for six runs in 4 1/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as William Contreras, Christian Yelich, Willy Adames, and Blake Perkins each had two RBIs. Contreras and Yelich each scored twice for the Brewers’ offense.
With a record of 29-21, the Brewers lead the NL Central by 2.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers took the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox, and their record in the NL Central is 13-7 this season. So far, they have been good on the road, going 17-12 compared to 12-9 at home.
As the road underdog, the Brewers have been good this year, putting together a record of 12-6. The Brewers’ overall series record is 8-6-2, and they are currently on a two-series losing streak. Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 5-5 over their last 10.
The Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 25-25 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 17-12. They have an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game this season, and that number jumps to +1.1 runs per game on the road. They have a run line record of 17-8 as the underdog this season.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is typically set lower than 9.5 runs, with their games averaging 8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 29-21 on the season, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in two of three games. Their games have gone under the line of 9.5 runs in 94% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Rea has made nine starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 4.07. In his most recent outing, Rea took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Rea has turned in three quality starts this year and is averaging 6.47 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed seven homers and is averaging 3.14 walks per nine innings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been a big part of the Brewers offense this season, batting .337 with a team-high 42 RBIs and 8 home runs, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. He has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 10/38 in his last nine games with three homers and 12 RBIs. Joey Ortiz has also been hot, going 10/31 in his last nine games.
Overall, the Brewers are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game and have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255 and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. As a team, they are 5th in home runs and have the 5th best isolated power mark in the MLB.
Boston will host the Brewers today with an overall record of 26-25, and they are nine games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they are just 4-6 in divisional games. The Red Sox lost the first game of this series vs. the Brewers and have an overall series record of 8-7-1 this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 10-14 this year and 16-11 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 13-10 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. The Red Sox have dropped three straight at home, and they are 7-9 when favored at home this season. Over the last 10 games, the Red Sox are 5-5.
When betting on the Red Sox run line this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road. Boston is 17-10 vs. the run line away from Fenway Park, but just 7-17 vs. the run line at home. The Red Sox have been an underdog in 28 games, going 17-11 vs. the run line in those contests.
With a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game, the Boston Red Sox have seen their games go over the over/under line of 9.5 runs just three times this season. Their over/under record is 19-28 overall, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. The Red Sox have played 46 games with over/under lines set below 9.5 runs, which accounts for 90.2% of their games this season.
Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Getting the start for the Red Sox today is Nick Pivetta. He has started the season with a 1-0 record and has 1 win and 1 no-decision in his last 2 starts. Pivetta’s most recent outing was a win over the Cardinals, where he went 6 innings and struck out 8 batters.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game (13th) and have been even better on the road, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in isolated power. Boston is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. One area they could improve is in the walks department, where they are currently below the league average.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are currently the Red Sox’s top power threats, with Devers having 10 homers and O’Neill at 11. Devers has gone deep four times over his last seven games, but he is hitting just .185 during that stretch. Ceddanne Rafaela is batting just .193 for the season but does lead the team with 26 RBIs. Jarren Duran comes into the game with a nine-game hitting streak and is batting .278 for the season.
Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -148. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nick Pivetta finishing with around six strikeouts compared to Colin Rea with five. Pivetta is also projected to give up fewer runs than Rea, and we have him going seven innings, compared to Rea, who is projected to go six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 25, 2024 Brewers, Red Sox