The Milwaukee Brewers (80-56) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (64-73) on Sunday, September 1st. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 11:10 CT.
Brewers vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+111)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
- The Reds have a recent home win against the Brewers, scoring 4 runs and allowing only 3 on August 11th.
- The Reds have won 4 out of their last 6 home games, indicating strong recent home performance.
- The Reds have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have a higher home win percentage (45.1%) compared to the Brewers’ away win percentage (43.5%).
Brewers vs Reds
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Reds series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -130 and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Brewers had a three-run 3rd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up the game-winning run in the top of the 9th.
Cincinnati had a chance to win the game in the 7th, as they scored two runs to cut the Brewers’ lead to 5-4, but they couldn’t push across another run. Offensively, the Reds actually outhit the Brewers in the game 8 to 5.
Frankie Montas got the start for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up four runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed one home run. Aaron Ashby came out of the bullpen for the win, and Devin Williams got the save.
Milwaukee has been on a roll, winning five straight games and taking the first three games of this series vs. the Reds. They lead the NL Central with a record of 80-56, which is 10 games ahead of the Cubs. As the favorite, the Brewers have a 46-31 record and an overall series record of 23-15-4.
This season, the Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 72-55. When the total has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 5 of 8 games. The O/U line for tonight’s game is 9.5 runs.
Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.99. Myers WHIP for the season is 1.13, and he has turned in six quality starts. Myers has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Giants. Myers has allowed a homer in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .225 off Myers this season.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Milwaukee has been one of the league’s best teams at getting on base, as they are 2nd in walks, 2nd in on-base percentage, and have the league’s 2nd best BABIP. The Brewers have also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 20th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 27 home runs are the best on the team and 9th in the league. Adames is also 6th in the league with 95 RBIs. William Contreras and Adames have been swinging the bat well of late, with Contreras going 7/19 with three homers in his last five games, and Adames also hitting three homers in that stretch while going 7/21.
So far this season, the Reds have been a better run line bet on the road, with a 41-25 record, compared to 31-40 at home. As underdogs on the run line, they have a solid 45-26 record. The average run differential in their wins is +3.9, while in their losses, it’s -3.2.
Cincinnati is currently in 5th place in the NL Central, 4.5 games behind the Cardinals for the final Wild Card spot. They have an overall series record of 16-23-3 this season and have lost two straight series. The over/under record for their games this season is 65-65, with games averaging 8.9 runs per game.
Brandon Williamson Gets The Start For The Reds
Brandon Williamson is coming off a season in which he made 23 starts and finished with a record of 5-5. His ERA for the season was 4.46, and his WHIP was 1.28. Williamson gave up a total of 18 home runs and finished the season with seven quality starts. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 2.5, and he averaged 1.7 walks per game.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been a key power source for the Reds this season, as his 22 home runs is 1st on the team and 14th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 61 RBIs and is batting .263. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the MLB home run leaderboard, as his 19 homers is 3rd on the team and 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .235 for the season.
Over his last four games, Will Benson has gone 3/11 with two home runs and four RBIs. This has also seen him score four runs. Dominic Smith and Nick Martini are both on three-game hitting streaks for the Reds.
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
Our prediction for this Brewers vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at +111. With the starting pitcher, Tobias Myers, projected to pick up a win, we still have the Reds coming out on top.
If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under line, we would take the over at 9.5 runs. Looking at the lineups, the Reds are projected to score six runs, and the Brewers are projected to score five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 1, 2024 Brewers, Reds