The Minnesota Twins (56-45) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (51-53) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Twins vs. Tigers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Tigers (+143)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Tigers have won 6 of their last 10 games, showing strong recent form.
- In their last 5 home games, the Tigers have scored an average of 6.8 runs per game.
- Detroit has a 4-2 record in their last 6 home games against the Twins.
- The Tigers have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 5 home games.
- Detroit has a 3-1 record in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record.
Twins vs Tigers
The Twins Are Coming Off A Win
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing three runs to the Phillies in the top of the first, the Twins responded with a run of their own. Minnesota went on to add another run in the 2nd inning and closed things out with a 3-run 7th. Going into the game, the Twins were the slight favorite at +115 on the money line.
Steven Okert got the start for the Twins, going only one-third of an inning. He was pulled early, as the Twins wanted to keep the damage to a minimum. Matt Wallner was the hero out of the bullpen, as he picked up the win and tossed 3.2 innings of scoreless baseball. The Twins also got a big game from Carlos Santana, going 2/3 with two doubles and two RBIs.
Minnesota has a 56-45 overall record and is 4.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. They are 29-21 at home and 27-24 on the road. The Twins have a 44-26 record as favorites, including 21-9 on the road.
On the run line, the Twins are 48-53 overall and 28-23 on the road. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 51-48. When the total is 8 runs, their O/U record is 7-15-2.
Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins
Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. So far this season, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 8-7 with an ERA of 4.87. Looking at his overall numbers, López has a WHIP of 1.15 and opponents are batting .241 this season. In his 20 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander’s last outing came on July 20th, where he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. He has not lost back-to-back starts since May.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Correa and Ryan Jeffers are both on solid home run paces for the Twins, as they are both tied for the team lead with 14 homers. Correa has also been the team’s top run producer so far, with 47 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. Jeffers is right behind him, also with 47 RBIs. Jeffers has a batting average of just .234, but he has gone 7/20 in his last five games.
For the season, the Twins are 7th in runs per game, at 4.8, and have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is the 7th best mark in the league.
The Tigers Are Coming Off A Win
Javier Baez had only one hit in the Tigers’ 3-0 win over the Guardians, but it was a big one. He homered in the 2nd inning, and Detroit’s offense added another three runs in the inning. The Tigers were the +127 underdog going into this road game.
Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers, going only two innings. He didn’t give up a run, but Detroit pulled him early, and he took the win. The Tigers’ bullpen was excellent, going seven innings and not giving up a run. Shelby Miller closed things out in the 9th for the Tigers.
Today, the Tigers will host the Twins with an overall series record of 14-14-4 and a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. Detroit’s season over/under record is 56-45, and when the total is 8 runs, they have gone 14-11-2.
For the season, the Tigers are 33-23 against the run line on the road and 12-30 as favorites. They are currently in 4th place in the AL Central, 11 games behind the Guardians, with an overall record of 51-53.
Keider Montero Gets The Start For The Tigers
Through six starts, Keider Montero has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 5.97 for the Tigers. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays, where he took the loss. In that start, Montero gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, Montero has finished with a no-decision in each one. The right-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 6.92 compared to 5.64 on the road.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is also the 18th ranked scoring offense in terms of home runs. As a team, the Tigers are batting just .233, which is 18th in the league. Detroit’s team on-base percentage is just .298, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as his 17 home runs are 1st on the team and 12th in the league. Greene is also batting .264 for the season. Matt Vierling is 2nd on the team with 13 homers and is batting .251. Vierling has gone 8/29 over his last seven games.
Twins vs Tigers Prediction
With the Tigers being the underdog, there is a lot of value in taking them on the money line at +143. Our model has the Tigers winning this one 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Keider Montero is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is good for fourth-worst among today’s starters. On the other side, Pablo Lopez is projected to finish with six, which is the seventh best.
Offensively, our projections have the Twins finishing with nine hits compared to the Tigers with nine. However, the Twins are projected to finish with more home runs, with the Tigers finishing with 1.1 compared to the Twins with 1.5.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 26, 2024 Tigers, Twins