The Minnesota Twins (58-48) travel to face off against the New York Mets (57-50) on Wednesday, July 31st. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.
Twins vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-105)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 10 out of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
- In the last 15 games, the Mets have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game at home.
- The Mets have a home record of 30-28, while the Twins have an away record of 29-27, indicating a slight home-field advantage for the Mets.
- In their last head-to-head series at home against the Twins, the Mets won both games with a combined score of 17-2.
- The Mets have won 7 out of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
Twins vs Mets
New York picked up a 2-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had just five hits in the game but got to Twins starter David Festa, who gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. As for the Twins, they were held to just two hits and were shut out.
Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued one walk. Edwin Diaz closed things out.
At the plate, Mark Vientos and J.D. Martinez each had an RBI for the Mets. Vientos hit the game’s only home run.
Minnesota is 58-48 overall and 29-27 on the road, entering today’s game looking to end a two-game losing streak. They are 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins have a 21-11-2 series record and have covered the run line in two straight road games.
This season, Twins games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, resulting in a 54-50 over/under record. Their run line record is 50-56, with a 30-26 mark on the road. As favorites, they are 33-40 vs. the run line.
Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins
Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-7 with an ERA of 4.73. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .241 this season. López’s WHIP for the season is 1.14. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up more than one earned run. López has a total of 10 quality starts this season.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Jeffers leads the team with 15 homers, and Santana is right behind him with 14. Jeffers also comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs, with 49. Willi Castro has also been a solid run producer, as his 34 RBIs are 5th in the lineup.
Minnesota’s offense has been good in a number of key categories this season, as they are 8th in scoring (4.8 runs per game), and have the league’s 8th best team batting average. They have also been a good team at avoiding strikeouts and have the 5th best isolated power mark in the league. As a team, they have been swinging the bats well of late, with Matt Wallner going 4/9 with two homers over his last three games.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets have a 57-50 record and have won two straight games, including the first two games of this series vs. the Twins. In terms of the run line, they have a 27-22 record on the road and 25-33 at home. Overall, they are 52-55 vs. the run line with an average scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game.
This season, Mets games have averaged 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 57-47. The over has hit in 19 of the 31 games with an 8.5-run total. Today’s O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than usual, as only 22.4% of their games have had higher total lines than this one.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.58. So far this year, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .221 off the right-hander. Severino’s last outing came on July 25th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, six hits, and two homers. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. One key stat for Severino is that he has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. New York is also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as they are 5th in the league in homers. So far, they have been one of the league’s better offensive teams, as they are 6th in team OPS and OBP.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, hitting five homers in his last 10 games while batting .256. For the season, he is batting .254 with 22 homers. Pete Alonso also has 22 homers this season, but he is batting just .244. Brandon Nimmo has 16 homers and is batting .234.
Twins vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -105. We actually have the Mets winning this one 6-5, which means there is some value in taking the Mets to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Luis Severino finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 15th among starters. As for Pablo Lopez, his projected six strikeouts would have him finishing 10th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 31, 2024 Mets, Twins