The Minnesota Twins (45-36) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (46-37) on Friday, June 28th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Twins vs Mariners
Byron Buxton and the Twins are coming off a big game to close out their series vs. the Diamondbacks. Buxton went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs, and the Twins scored 13 runs on jsonly 13 hits. It was a six-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Diamondbacks could only score six runs, all of which came in the 4th.
David Festa got the start for the Twins, going five innings and giving up five earned runs on seven hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Minnesota is on the road today, taking on the Mariners with an overall record of 45-36, which has them seven games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are coming off a series win over the Diamondbacks and have an overall series record of 15-9-2 this year.
At home, the Twins have gone 23-16 this year while also playing well on the road at 22-20. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 36-20 this year and 9-16 as the underdog. Minnesota has put together a two-game winning streak on the road, and their overall record as the road underdog is 5-13 this year.
Minnesota is 37-44 against the run line this season, but they are 22-20 on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 0.5 runs per game at home. The Twins are 25-31 against the run line as the favorite and 12-13 as the underdog.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road facing the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The over/under record for the Twins this season is 39-40, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-10. Their games have averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game this season, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 7-4 with a 4.50 ERA. Opponents are batting .233 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.11. Ober has turned in six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went nine innings, giving up two earned runs, and picking up the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One issue for Ober has been his home run total, as he has allowed 14 homers this year.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Minnesota’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. The Twins are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 5th in the league in homers. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.
Over his last five games, Byron Buxton has gone 9/19 with three home runs and eight RBIs. Willi Castro and Ryan Jeffers come into the game on long hitting streaks, with Castro’s streak at nine games and Jeffers at seven. Jeffers and Carlos Santana are 1st and 2nd on the team in RBIs, and Jeffers’ 13 homers is the best mark on the team.
Seattle closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 5-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning for the Mariners, as they scored three runs in the inning. The Rays could only score one run, and it came in the 3rd.
George Kirby put together a good start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Seattle’s offense was carried by Cal Raleigh, who went 1/2 with a homer and three RBIs.
Seattle kicks off their series vs. the Twins with an overall record of 46-37, good for 1st place in the AL West. Currently, they lead the Astros by 4.5 games. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5. The Mariners lost two of three in their series vs. the Rays.
At home, the Mariners are 27-12 this season, but they have been just under .500 on the road at 19-25. Seattle is on a three-game winning streak at home, and they are 21-10 as the home favorite this season. So far, they have gone 29-21 as the favorite overall. As for their series record, the Mariners are 13-11-2 and went three straight series losses before winning their most recent series.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 21-18. They have a positive run differential at home, averaging 0.9 more runs per game than their opponents. The Mariners have covered the run line in two straight games at home and have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 19-14.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-44. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-15. In 41.0% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, while in 28.9% of their games, the line has been set lower.
Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 2.71 ERA. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is .89, and opponents are batting .191 off him this year. In his last outing, Gilbert was dominant, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Gilbert has made 13 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.38 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed 11 homers.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as he is batting .252 with seven homers, which is 5th on the team. Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver are the team’s top home run hitters, but both have struggled at the plate, with Raleigh batting just .204 and Garver at .178. Raleigh is 13th in the league with 49 RBIs.
Seattle’s offense is averaging only 3.9 runs per game, and they are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of batting average and slugging percentage. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game. Over his last eight games, Dylan Moore has two homers and is hitting .250, and J.P. Crawford has gone 10/32 in his last nine games.
Twins vs Mariners Prediction
Getting the Twins at +109 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Twins vs. Mariners matchup. We have the Twins coming out on top by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could look to pair the Twins with the under, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with nine total runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Ober is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Logan Gilbert with five. Gilbert is projected to go 5.1 innings, compared to Ober, who we have going 4.2 innings.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 28, 2024 Mariners, Twins