The Minnesota Twins (46-37) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (47-38) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Twins vs Mariners
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Mariners by a score of 5-1. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Mariners and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -120 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Pablo López for the Twins and Bryce Miller for the Mariners. López went six innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run, picking up a win in the game. On the other side, Miller lasted just five innings and gave up two earned runs, taking the loss.
Seattle’s only run came in the 3rd inning, as they were held in check by the Twins’ pitching staff the rest of the way. Minnesota’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring four of their five runs in the 1st and 2nd innings.
Minnesota is 46-37 overall this season, putting them seven games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. They are 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are on a three-game winning streak as the favorite, and they are 37-20 when favored this year.
The Twins have gone 23-16 at home compared to 23-21 on the road. Minnesota is 15-9-2 in series this year, and they have won two straight series overall and two straight series on the road. In their series vs. the Mariners, the Twins will be looking to win two of three, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
Minnesota is 39-44 on the run line this season and 24-20 on the road. The Twins have covered the run line in four straight road games and three straight games overall. Minnesota has an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game this season.
Minnesota’s over/under record is 39-42 this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Seattle Mariners is set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game, and their games have averaged 8 runs per contest this season. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, Minnesota’s record is 10-10. The over has hit in 63.9% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins
Through 16 starts, Joe Ryan has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.31. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Diamondbacks, he gave up one homer. Ryan has given up a homer in three straight outings. The right-hander’s WHIP for the season is currently .96. Ryan’s ERA on the road is 3.13, and he has a record of 2-2 away from home.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Ryan Jeffers comes into the game as the Twins’ leader in home runs this season, with 13, and his 41 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Jeffers is batting just .232, but he has been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/23 in his last six games. Carlos Santana has the 2nd most homers on the team, with 12, and is 3rd on the team with 39 RBIs. He is batting .257 for the season.
As a team, the Twins are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Twins are 5th in home runs and are among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS.
Seattle is 47-38 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Astros. The Mariners have gone 17-5 against other teams in their division. They have been good at home this year, putting together a record of 28-13, but they are just 19-25 on the road.
The Mariners really struggled over their last 10 games, going just 3-7. So far, they have an even 13-11-2 record in series this year, and they have lost three straight series. As the underdog, the Mariners are 17-17 this year and 30-21 when favored.
Seattle has a run line record of 40-45 this season, including 21-20 at home. Their average run margin is +0.1 runs per game. They have been favored in 51 games, going 21-30 on the run line, while they have been the underdog in 34 games, going 19-15 on the run line. In their 40 wins, their average run margin is +3.0 runs per game, while in their 45 losses, it is -3.5 runs per game.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 34-46. When their O/U line has been set at 7.5, their record is 10-15. Overall, 40.0% of their games have had O/U lines set at 7.5 runs. Their games have gone under the total in two straight contests.
Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-9 and an ERA of 3.79. So far this year, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .237 off the right-hander. In his 17 appearances, Castillo has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Castillo took the loss vs. the Rays, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Their batting average of .218 is also the worst in the league. However, they do have the 8th most home runs in the league and have been good at drawing walks. Seattle’s team on-base percentage of .298 is just 20th in the league.
Cal Raleigh comes into the game with a team-high 50 RBIs, but he is batting just .202 for the season. He has gone 4/16 in his last six games with two homers. Julio Rodriguez is batting .248 for the season with seven homers, and Mitch Garver has also been a big power threat, with 10 homers, but he is batting just .172 for the year.
Twins vs Mariners Prediction
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -103. We have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means there is some value in taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Castillo finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the highest projection among all starters today. As for Joe Ryan, we have him finishing with five K’s, which ranks him 14th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 30, 2024 Mariners, Twins